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  4. 2011
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2011 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
154014th
Point Diff / Game
+1.413th
Net EPA / Play
+0.03012th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
24-27
-3
+6.5
W
5
2
SF logo
SF@
W
27-24
+3
-3
P
36
3
WAS logo
WAS
W
18-16
+2
-3.5
L
-38
4
DET logo
DET
L
30-34
-4
-2.5
L
-4
5BYE WEEK
6
NE logo
NE@
L
16-20
-4
+6.5
W
9
7
LAR logo
LAR
W
34-07
+27
-14
W
21
8
PHI logo
PHI@
L
07-34
-27
+3
L
-21
9
SEA logo
SEA
W
23-13
+10
-10.5
L
6
10
BUF logo
BUF
W
44-07
+37
-4.5
W
23
11
WAS logo
WAS@
W
27-24
+3
-7
L
-2
12
MIA logo
MIA
W
20-19
+1
-7
L
-18
13
ARI logo
ARI@
L
13-19
-6
-4.5
L
-11
14
NYG logo
NYG
L
34-37
-3
-4.5
L
-2
15
TB logo
TB@
W
31-15
+16
-7.5
W
48
16
PHI logo
PHI
L
07-20
-13
+2.5
L
-65
17
NYG logo
NYG@
L
14-31
-17
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.14
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
11th
Sack EPA
-4.07
18th
Turnover EPA
-5.67
24th
Point Differential
+1.4
13th
Points For
23.1
15th
Points Against
21.7
15th
Total Yards
375.5
10th
Passing Yards
228.3
7th
Rushing Yards
112.9
17th
Total Yards Allowed
343.4
14th
Passing Allowed
204.3
17th
Rushing Allowed
99.2
6th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
11th
4th Down
50%
9th
Red Zone
49%
19th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
22nd
4th Down
36%
8th
Red Zone
55%
22nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
6th
Created
1.6
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
7th
Created
0.9
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
17th
Created
0.6
12th