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  4. 2014
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2014 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-5
nfelo Rating
16066th
Point Diff / Game
+6.36th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1175th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF
L
17-28
-11
+3.5
L
-14
2
TEN logo
TEN@
W
26-10
+16
+3.5
W
13
3
LAR logo
LAR@
W
34-31
+3
-2
W
12
4
NO logo
NO
W
38-17
+21
+3
W
22
5
HOU logo
HOU
W
20-17
+3
-5
L
2
6
SEA logo
SEA@
W
30-23
+7
+9.5
W
22
7
NYG logo
NYG
W
31-21
+10
-5.5
W
19
8
WAS logo
WAS
L
17-20
-3
-9.5
L
-124
9
ARI logo
ARI
L
17-28
-11
-1.5
L
104
10
JAX logo
JAX@
W
31-17
+14
-7.5
W
16
11BYE WEEK
12
NYG logo
NYG@
W
31-28
+3
-5
L
-5
13
PHI logo
PHI
L
10-33
-23
-3.5
L
-27
14
CHI logo
CHI@
W
41-28
+13
-4
W
51
15
PHI logo
PHI@
W
38-27
+11
+3.5
W
12
16
IND logo
IND
W
42-07
+35
-3
W
24
17
WAS logo
WAS@
W
44-17
+27
-6
W
11
18
DET logo
DET
W
24-20
+4
-6.5
L
-10
19
GB logo
GB@
L
21-26
-5
+5.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.11
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.27
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.04
8th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.04
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
20th
Sack EPA
-3.85
17th
Turnover EPA
-5.53
22nd
Point Differential
+6.3
6th
Points For
28.4
5th
Points Against
22.1
15th
Total Yards
376.0
9th
Passing Yards
204.4
15th
Rushing Yards
142.9
2nd
Total Yards Allowed
361.0
21st
Passing Allowed
198.2
18th
Rushing Allowed
103.4
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
47%
2nd
4th Down
56%
8th
Red Zone
64%
3rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
29th
4th Down
48%
18th
Red Zone
59%
25th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
14th
Created
2.0
1st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
3rd
Created
1.1
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
27th
Created
0.9
2nd