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DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2015 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
138826th
Point Diff / Game
-6.229th
Net EPA / Play
-0.11729th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG
W
27-26
+1
-7
L
4
2
PHI logo
PHI@
W
20-10
+10
+6.5
W
-134
3
ATL logo
ATL
L
28-39
-11
-0
4
NO logo
NO@
L
20-26
-6
+3
L
8
5
NE logo
NE
L
06-30
-24
+9
L
-21
6BYE WEEK
7
NYG logo
NYG@
L
20-27
-7
+3
L
-5
8
SEA logo
SEA
L
12-13
-1
+5.5
W
15
9
PHI logo
PHI
L
27-33
-6
+3
L
8
10
TB logo
TB@
L
06-10
-4
-1
L
128
11
MIA logo
MIA@
W
24-14
+10
-2.5
W
10
12
CAR logo
CAR
L
14-33
-19
+1
L
-160
13
WAS logo
WAS@
W
19-16
+3
+2
W
18
14
GB logo
GB@
L
07-28
-21
+6.5
L
-13
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
16-19
-3
+3.5
W
-42
16
BUF logo
BUF@
L
06-16
-10
+6.5
L
7
17
WAS logo
WAS
L
23-34
-11
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.07
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.02
5th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
26th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.02
30th
Sack EPA
-3.14
5th
Turnover EPA
-10.11
1st
Point Differential
-6.2
29th
Points For
17.2
31st
Points Against
23.4
16th
Total Yards
335.2
23rd
Passing Yards
183.2
27th
Rushing Yards
118.1
8th
Total Yards Allowed
348.0
16th
Passing Allowed
214.0
14th
Rushing Allowed
120.9
22nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
26th
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
44%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
17th
4th Down
50%
17th
Red Zone
51%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.1
31st
Created
0.7
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.4
32nd
Created
0.5
30th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
21st
Created
0.2
32nd