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DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2016 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-4
nfelo Rating
152914th
Point Diff / Game
+6.63rd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1223rd

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG
L
19-20
-1
-12
2
WAS logo
WAS@
W
27-23
+4
+3.5
W
14
3
CHI logo
CHI
W
31-17
+14
-6.5
W
21
4
SF logo
SF@
W
24-17
+7
-1.5
W
18
5
CIN logo
CIN
W
28-14
+14
+2.5
W
17
6
GB logo
GB@
W
30-16
+14
+5
W
16
7BYE WEEK
8
PHI logo
PHI
W
29-23
+6
-5
W
6
9
CLE logo
CLE@
W
35-10
+25
-7
W
40
10
PIT logo
PIT@
W
35-30
+5
+3
W
12
11
BAL logo
BAL
W
27-17
+10
-7
W
13
12
WAS logo
WAS
W
31-26
+5
-5.5
L
-1
13
MIN logo
MIN@
W
17-15
+2
-3
L
-4
14
NYG logo
NYG@
L
07-10
-3
-3.5
L
-22
15
TB logo
TB
W
26-20
+6
-7
L
4
16
DET logo
DET
W
42-21
+21
-6.5
W
14
17
PHI logo
PHI@
L
13-27
-14
+6.5
L
-89
18BYE WEEK
19
GB logo
GB
L
31-34
-3
-5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.11
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.20
4th
EPA / Rush
+0.05
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
8th
Sack EPA
-3.36
9th
Turnover EPA
-4.06
24th
Point Differential
+6.6
3rd
Points For
26.6
5th
Points Against
20.0
8th
Total Yards
379.9
5th
Passing Yards
187.8
20th
Rushing Yards
149.2
2nd
Total Yards Allowed
348.0
16th
Passing Allowed
237.9
26th
Rushing Allowed
83.7
1st

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
9th
4th Down
89%
1st
Red Zone
65%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
64%
23rd
Red Zone
56%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
7th
Created
1.2
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
4th
Created
0.6
26th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
21st
Created
0.6
14th