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  4. 2023
DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-6
nfelo Rating
16904th
Point Diff / Game
+9.92nd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1862nd

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG@
W
40-00
+40
-3
W
8
2
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
30-10
+20
-8
W
16
3
ARI logo
ARI@
L
16-28
-12
-11
L
-16
4
NE logo
NE
W
38-03
+35
-6
W
15
5
SF logo
SF@
L
10-42
-32
+3.5
L
-27
6
LAC logo
LAC@
W
20-17
+3
-1.5
W
18
7BYE WEEK
8
LAR logo
LAR
W
43-20
+23
-7
W
19
9
PHI logo
PHI@
L
23-28
-5
+3
L
0
10
NYG logo
NYG
W
49-17
+32
-17.5
W
57
11
CAR logo
CAR@
W
33-10
+23
-11
W
9
12
WAS logo
WAS
W
45-10
+35
-13
W
24
13
SEA logo
SEA
W
41-35
+6
-9.5
L
-18
14
PHI logo
PHI
W
33-13
+20
-3.5
W
5
15
BUF logo
BUF@
L
10-31
-21
+2.5
L
-65
16
MIA logo
MIA@
L
20-22
-2
+1.5
L
3
17
DET logo
DET
W
20-19
+1
-5
L
-8
18
WAS logo
WAS@
W
38-10
+28
-13
W
39
19
GB logo
GB
L
32-48
-16
-7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.12
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.15
3rd
EPA / Rush
+0.01
7th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
9th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
13th
Sack EPA
-4.38
13th
Turnover EPA
-5.02
17th
Point Differential
+9.9
2nd
Points For
30.1
1st
Points Against
20.2
9th
Total Yards
379.9
4th
Passing Yards
184.9
15th
Rushing Yards
113.8
15th
Total Yards Allowed
306.2
7th
Passing Allowed
177.1
12th
Rushing Allowed
114.1
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
49%
2nd
4th Down
52%
15th
Red Zone
58%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
17th
4th Down
53%
20th
Red Zone
60%
22nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
3rd
Created
1.5
11th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
13th
Created
0.9
11th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
4th
Created
0.6
18th