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  4. 2017
GB logo

Green Bay Packers

2017 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
142723rd
Point Diff / Game
-4.023rd
Net EPA / Play
-0.07722nd

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SEA logo
SEA
W
17-09
+8
-3
W
1
2
ATL logo
ATL@
L
23-34
-11
+3
L
-9
3
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-24
+3
-7
L
-15
4
CHI logo
CHI
W
35-14
+21
-7
W
8
5
DAL logo
DAL@
W
35-31
+4
+2.5
W
10
6
MIN logo
MIN@
L
10-23
-13
-3
L
-193
7
NO logo
NO
L
17-26
-9
+4
L
-2
8BYE WEEK
9
DET logo
DET
L
17-30
-13
+2.5
L
-15
10
CHI logo
CHI@
W
23-16
+7
+5
W
23
11
BAL logo
BAL
L
00-23
-23
+2.5
L
-13
12
PIT logo
PIT@
L
28-31
-3
+14
W
24
13
TB logo
TB
W
26-20
+6
-3
W
29
14
CLE logo
CLE@
W
27-21
+6
-2.5
W
139
15
CAR logo
CAR@
L
24-31
-7
+3
L
-114
16
MIN logo
MIN
L
00-16
-16
+9
L
-26
17
DET logo
DET@
L
11-35
-24
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
17th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
23rd
EPA / Rush
+0.04
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.03
29th
EPA / Pass
+0.16
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
8th
Sack EPA
-5.83
30th
Turnover EPA
-6.31
11th
Point Differential
-4.0
23rd
Points For
20.0
21st
Points Against
24.0
26th
Total Yards
305.8
26th
Passing Yards
198.1
17th
Rushing Yards
107.8
17th
Total Yards Allowed
349.1
23rd
Passing Allowed
222.1
25th
Rushing Allowed
112.1
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
13th
4th Down
54%
10th
Red Zone
62%
4th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
28th
4th Down
80%
31st
Red Zone
65%
30th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
24th
Created
1.3
16th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
28th
Created
0.7
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.6
9th