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  4. 2020
GB logo

Green Bay Packers

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-4
nfelo Rating
17152nd
Point Diff / Game
+8.33rd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1523rd

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIN logo
MIN@
W
43-34
+9
+1.5
W
25
2
DET logo
DET
W
42-21
+21
-6.5
W
33
3
NO logo
NO@
W
37-30
+7
+3
W
15
4
ATL logo
ATL
W
30-16
+14
-5
W
24
5BYE WEEK
6
TB logo
TB@
L
10-38
-28
-2.5
L
-34
7
HOU logo
HOU@
W
35-20
+15
-3
W
16
8
MIN logo
MIN
L
22-28
-6
-6
L
-5
9
SF logo
SF@
W
34-17
+17
-6
W
40
10
JAX logo
JAX
W
24-20
+4
-13.5
L
-26
11
IND logo
IND@
L
31-34
-3
+1.5
L
-15
12
CHI logo
CHI
W
41-25
+16
-8
W
26
13
PHI logo
PHI
W
30-16
+14
-8.5
W
7
14
DET logo
DET@
W
31-24
+7
-8.5
L
-6
15
CAR logo
CAR
W
24-16
+8
-9.5
L
-7
16
TEN logo
TEN
W
40-14
+26
-3
W
21
17
CHI logo
CHI@
W
35-16
+19
-4.5
W
18
18BYE WEEK
19
LAR logo
LAR
W
32-18
+14
-7
W
48
20
TB logo
TB
L
26-31
-5
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.19
1st
EPA / Pass
+0.31
1st
EPA / Rush
+0.06
5th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
11th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
23rd
Sack EPA
-2.24
4th
Turnover EPA
-2.96
32nd
Point Differential
+8.3
3rd
Points For
31.5
1st
Points Against
23.2
15th
Total Yards
394.1
3rd
Passing Yards
181.8
24th
Rushing Yards
132.1
8th
Total Yards Allowed
330.6
7th
Passing Allowed
211.1
19th
Rushing Allowed
110.2
10th

Conversions For

3rd Down
51%
1st
4th Down
62%
9th
Red Zone
77%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
14th
4th Down
58%
19th
Red Zone
60%
13th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.7
1st
Created
1.2
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.3
1st
Created
0.8
15th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
7th
Created
0.4
23rd