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  4. 2010
HOU logo

Houston Texans

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
147714th
Point Diff / Game
-2.318th
Net EPA / Play
-0.03518th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
IND logo
IND
W
34-24
+10
+2
W
5
2
WAS logo
WAS@
W
30-27
+3
-3
P
45
3
DAL logo
DAL
L
13-27
-14
-2.5
L
-27
4
OAK logo
OAK@
W
31-24
+7
-3.5
W
4
5
NYG logo
NYG
L
10-34
-24
-3
L
-33
6
KC logo
KC
W
35-31
+4
-4.5
L
5
7BYE WEEK
8
IND logo
IND@
L
17-30
-13
+5.5
L
-15
9
LAC logo
LAC
L
23-29
-6
+3
L
-33
10
JAX logo
JAX@
L
24-31
-7
+1
L
3
11
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
27-30
-3
+6.5
W
32
12
TEN logo
TEN
W
20-00
+20
-5
W
26
13
PHI logo
PHI@
L
24-34
-10
+8
L
-14
14
BAL logo
BAL
L
28-34
-6
+3
L
-8
15
TEN logo
TEN@
L
17-31
-14
+1
L
-17
16
DEN logo
DEN@
L
23-24
-1
-2.5
L
-5
17
JAX logo
JAX
W
34-17
+17
-4.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.11
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.13
5th
EPA / Rush
+0.04
4th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.15
32nd
EPA / Pass
+0.26
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.02
27th
Sack EPA
-3.67
19th
Turnover EPA
-4.45
29th
Point Differential
-2.3
18th
Points For
24.4
11th
Points Against
26.7
29th
Total Yards
386.8
3rd
Passing Yards
192.3
13th
Rushing Yards
127.6
7th
Total Yards Allowed
377.1
29th
Passing Allowed
231.2
30th
Rushing Allowed
109.6
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
9th
4th Down
47%
14th
Red Zone
62%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
20th
4th Down
85%
32nd
Red Zone
68%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
3rd
Created
1.1
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
7th
Created
0.8
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
3rd
Created
0.3
32nd