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HOU logo

Houston Texans

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
144822nd
Point Diff / Game
-5.026th
Net EPA / Play
-0.07624th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
KC logo
KC@
L
20-34
-14
+9.5
L
-18
2
BAL logo
BAL
L
16-33
-17
+7.5
L
-10
3
PIT logo
PIT@
L
21-28
-7
+4
L
-4
4
MIN logo
MIN
L
23-31
-8
-3.5
L
-7
5
JAX logo
JAX
W
30-14
+16
-6.5
W
45
6
TEN logo
TEN@
L
36-42
-6
+4
L
6
7
GB logo
GB
L
20-35
-15
+3
L
-5
8BYE WEEK
9
JAX logo
JAX@
W
27-25
+2
-7
L
-34
10
CLE logo
CLE@
L
07-10
-3
+4.5
W
-10
11
NE logo
NE
W
27-20
+7
+2.5
W
25
12
DET logo
DET@
W
41-25
+16
-3
W
12
13
IND logo
IND
L
20-26
-6
+3
L
-10
14
CHI logo
CHI@
L
07-36
-29
-1
L
-37
15
IND logo
IND@
L
20-27
-7
+7.5
W
5
16
CIN logo
CIN
L
31-37
-6
-7.5
L
-5
17
TEN logo
TEN
L
38-41
-3
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.07
10th
EPA / Pass
+0.21
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.14
31st
EPA / Pass
+0.26
31st
EPA / Rush
+0.05
30th
Sack EPA
-5.21
26th
Turnover EPA
-4.56
27th
Point Differential
-5.0
26th
Points For
24.0
18th
Points Against
29.0
27th
Total Yards
375.4
11th
Passing Yards
262.3
3rd
Rushing Yards
91.6
31st
Total Yards Allowed
417.1
30th
Passing Allowed
216.0
20th
Rushing Allowed
160.3
32nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
12th
4th Down
56%
18th
Red Zone
54%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
48%
29th
4th Down
52%
14th
Red Zone
63%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
5th
Created
0.7
32nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
2nd
Created
0.2
32nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
20th
Created
0.5
18th