nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. teams...
  3. ind...
  4. 2021
IND logo

Indianapolis Colts

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
159010th
Point Diff / Game
+5.17th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0927th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SEA logo
SEA
L
16-28
-12
+3
L
-35
2
LAR logo
LAR
L
24-27
-3
+4
W
-2
3
TEN logo
TEN@
L
16-25
-9
+5
L
-23
4
MIA logo
MIA@
W
27-17
+10
+2.5
W
24
5
BAL logo
BAL@
L
25-31
-6
+7.5
W
17
6
HOU logo
HOU
W
31-03
+28
-10
W
9
7
SF logo
SF@
W
30-18
+12
+3.5
W
29
8
TEN logo
TEN
L
31-34
-3
-3
L
-12
9
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
45-30
+15
-10
W
14
10
JAX logo
JAX
W
23-17
+6
-10
L
-12
11
BUF logo
BUF@
W
41-15
+26
+7
W
15
12
TB logo
TB
L
31-38
-7
+3
L
-5
13
HOU logo
HOU@
W
31-00
+31
-10
W
15
14BYE WEEK
15
NE logo
NE
W
27-17
+10
-1.5
W
30
16
ARI logo
ARI@
W
22-16
+6
+3
W
11
17
OAK logo
OAK
L
20-23
-3
-7
L
-22
18
JAX logo
JAX@
L
11-26
-15
-14
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
8th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
18th
EPA / Rush
+0.08
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.05
13th
Sack EPA
-4.52
20th
Turnover EPA
-4.39
28th
Point Differential
+5.1
7th
Points For
26.5
8th
Points Against
21.5
11th
Total Yards
347.4
16th
Passing Yards
191.7
18th
Rushing Yards
149.4
2nd
Total Yards Allowed
343.8
17th
Passing Allowed
220.1
21st
Rushing Allowed
109.3
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
12th
4th Down
62%
6th
Red Zone
56%
19th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
18th
4th Down
57%
18th
Red Zone
64%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
5th
Created
2.1
1st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
4th
Created
1.1
3rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
20th
Created
0.9
1st