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Jacksonville Jaguars

2020 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
1-15
nfelo Rating
129832nd
Point Diff / Game
-11.631st
Net EPA / Play
-0.20831st

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
IND logo
IND
W
27-20
+7
+7
W
14
2
TEN logo
TEN@
L
30-33
-3
+7
W
11
3
MIA logo
MIA
L
13-31
-18
-2.5
L
-19
4
CIN logo
CIN@
L
25-33
-8
+1.5
L
-20
5
HOU logo
HOU@
L
14-30
-16
+6.5
L
-38
6
DET logo
DET
L
16-34
-18
+3
L
-11
7
LAC logo
LAC@
L
29-39
-10
+7.5
L
-125
8BYE WEEK
9
HOU logo
HOU
L
25-27
-2
+7
W
48
10
GB logo
GB@
L
20-24
-4
+13.5
W
28
11
PIT logo
PIT
L
03-27
-24
+10.5
L
79
12
CLE logo
CLE
L
25-27
-2
+7.5
W
6
13
MIN logo
MIN@
L
24-27
-3
+10
W
6
14
TEN logo
TEN
L
10-31
-21
+7.5
L
4
15
BAL logo
BAL@
L
14-40
-26
+12.5
L
-53
16
CHI logo
CHI
L
17-41
-24
+9.5
L
-53
17
IND logo
IND@
L
14-28
-14
+15.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.09
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.08
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
17th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.12
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.23
30th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
20th
Sack EPA
-5.55
29th
Turnover EPA
-6.35
11th
Point Differential
-11.6
31st
Points For
19.1
30th
Points Against
30.8
31st
Total Yards
326.5
27th
Passing Yards
200.3
19th
Rushing Yards
95.1
29th
Total Yards Allowed
417.8
31st
Passing Allowed
223.6
23rd
Rushing Allowed
153.3
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
19th
4th Down
27%
31st
Red Zone
60%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
21st
4th Down
67%
26th
Red Zone
63%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
26th
Created
1.1
27th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
27th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
20th
Created
0.3
28th