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LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2013 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
155710th
Point Diff / Game
+3.211th
Net EPA / Play
+0.05511th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU
L
28-31
-3
+6
W
-6
2
PHI logo
PHI@
W
33-30
+3
+7.5
W
26
3
TEN logo
TEN@
L
17-20
-3
+3
P
-8
4
DAL logo
DAL
W
30-21
+9
+1
W
20
5
OAK logo
OAK@
L
17-27
-10
-6
L
-9
6
IND logo
IND
W
19-09
+10
+1.5
W
6
7
JAX logo
JAX@
W
24-06
+18
-7
W
17
8BYE WEEK
9
WAS logo
WAS@
L
24-30
-6
+1
L
-21
10
DEN logo
DEN
L
20-28
-8
+7
L
-7
11
MIA logo
MIA@
L
16-20
-4
-2.5
L
-7
12
KC logo
KC@
W
41-38
+3
+3.5
W
17
13
CIN logo
CIN
L
10-17
-7
+2
L
-21
14
NYG logo
NYG
W
37-14
+23
-4
W
14
15
DEN logo
DEN@
W
27-20
+7
+10
W
6
16
OAK logo
OAK
W
26-13
+13
-10
W
9
17
KC logo
KC
W
27-24
+3
-14.5
L
-9
18
CIN logo
CIN@
W
27-10
+17
+6.5
W
55
19
DEN logo
DEN@
L
17-24
-7
+8
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.16
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.29
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.02
10th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.10
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
22nd
EPA / Rush
+0.05
30th
Sack EPA
-2.83
3rd
Turnover EPA
-4.42
27th
Point Differential
+3.2
11th
Points For
24.4
14th
Points Against
21.2
9th
Total Yards
381.7
8th
Passing Yards
258.0
2nd
Rushing Yards
123.7
13th
Total Yards Allowed
369.9
23rd
Passing Allowed
220.9
20th
Rushing Allowed
109.5
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
47%
2nd
4th Down
86%
1st
Red Zone
52%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
21st
4th Down
44%
15th
Red Zone
60%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
1st
Created
1.4
21st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
5th
Created
0.8
24th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.6
19th