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  4. 2019
LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2019 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
146919th
Point Diff / Game
-0.515th
Net EPA / Play
-0.01515th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
IND logo
IND
W
30-24
+6
-6
P
-6
2
DET logo
DET@
L
10-13
-3
-1
L
-5
3
HOU logo
HOU
L
20-27
-7
-3
L
-34
4
MIA logo
MIA@
W
30-10
+20
-14.5
W
25
5
DEN logo
DEN
L
13-20
-7
-4.5
L
-43
6
PIT logo
PIT
L
17-24
-7
-6
L
-37
7
TEN logo
TEN@
L
20-23
-3
+2.5
L
-2
8
CHI logo
CHI@
W
17-16
+1
+3.5
W
12
9
GB logo
GB
W
26-11
+15
+4
W
11
10
OAK logo
OAK@
L
24-26
-2
-1.5
L
-21
11
KC logo
KC
L
17-24
-7
+6
L
-20
12BYE WEEK
13
DEN logo
DEN@
L
20-23
-3
-4.5
L
-4
14
JAX logo
JAX@
W
45-10
+35
-3.5
W
24
15
MIN logo
MIN
L
10-39
-29
+1.5
L
-24
16
OAK logo
OAK
L
17-24
-7
-7.5
L
-9
17
KC logo
KC@
L
21-31
-10
+10
P
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.00
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
25th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.09
22nd
EPA / Rush
-0.03
22nd
Sack EPA
-4.15
11th
Turnover EPA
-8.71
4th
Point Differential
-0.5
15th
Points For
21.1
21st
Points Against
21.6
13th
Total Yards
367.6
10th
Passing Yards
263.6
3rd
Rushing Yards
90.8
28th
Total Yards Allowed
313.3
6th
Passing Allowed
144.5
3rd
Rushing Allowed
113.1
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
6th
4th Down
56%
9th
Red Zone
53%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
29th
4th Down
62%
28th
Red Zone
60%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
28th
Created
1.0
28th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
29th
Created
0.7
21st

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
18th
Created
0.3
30th