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LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
157612th
Point Diff / Game
+0.916th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01017th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
W
20-16
+4
+1.5
W
24
2
DAL logo
DAL
L
17-20
-3
-3
L
-9
3
KC logo
KC@
W
30-24
+6
+7
W
17
4
OAK logo
OAK
W
28-14
+14
-3
W
12
5
CLE logo
CLE
W
47-42
+5
-2.5
W
16
6
BAL logo
BAL@
L
06-34
-28
+3
L
-22
7BYE WEEK
8
NE logo
NE
L
24-27
-3
-3.5
L
-18
9
PHI logo
PHI@
W
27-24
+3
19
10
MIN logo
MIN
L
20-27
-7
-3.5
L
-16
11
PIT logo
PIT
W
41-37
+4
-6
L
17
12
DEN logo
DEN@
L
13-28
-15
-2.5
L
-15
13
CIN logo
CIN@
W
41-22
+19
+2.5
W
19
14
NYG logo
NYG
W
37-21
+16
-9
W
13
15
KC logo
KC
L
28-34
-6
+3
L
-13
16
HOU logo
HOU@
L
29-41
-12
-13
L
-15
17
DEN logo
DEN
W
34-13
+21
-7.5
W
42
18
OAK logo
OAK@
L
32-35
-3
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
7th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
16th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
25th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
17th
EPA / Rush
+0.04
31st
Sack EPA
-3.13
5th
Turnover EPA
-5.95
15th
Point Differential
+0.9
16th
Points For
27.9
5th
Points Against
27.0
29th
Total Yards
391.1
4th
Passing Yards
234.2
5th
Rushing Yards
108.0
21st
Total Yards Allowed
360.6
23rd
Passing Allowed
221.5
23rd
Rushing Allowed
139.0
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
3rd
4th Down
65%
4th
Red Zone
64%
3rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
50%
32nd
4th Down
32%
1st
Red Zone
64%
27th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
14th
Created
1.2
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
21st
Created
0.6
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.6
7th