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  4. 2009
LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2009 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
1-15
nfelo Rating
127831st
Point Diff / Game
-16.332nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.28932nd

2009 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SEA logo
SEA@
L
00-28
-28
+7.5
L
-34
2
WAS logo
WAS@
L
07-09
-2
+9.5
W
32
3
GB logo
GB
L
17-36
-19
+6.5
L
6
4
SF logo
SF@
L
00-35
-35
+9.5
L
-26
5
MIN logo
MIN
L
10-38
-28
+10.5
L
-41
6
JAX logo
JAX@
L
20-23
-3
+9.5
W
34
7
IND logo
IND
L
06-42
-36
+14
L
-14
8
DET logo
DET@
W
17-10
+7
+3
W
17
9BYE WEEK
10
NO logo
NO
L
23-28
-5
+14
W
20
11
ARI logo
ARI
L
13-21
-8
+8.5
W
5
12
SEA logo
SEA
L
17-27
-10
+3.5
L
-18
13
CHI logo
CHI@
L
09-17
-8
+9
W
-8
14
TEN logo
TEN@
L
07-47
-40
+13.5
L
-19
15
HOU logo
HOU
L
13-16
-3
+14
W
7
16
ARI logo
ARI@
L
10-31
-21
+16.5
L
-18
17
SF logo
SF
L
06-28
-22
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.20
32nd
EPA / Pass
-0.31
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.15
30th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.09
31st
EPA / Pass
+0.13
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.00
28th
Sack EPA
-4.69
25th
Turnover EPA
-9.28
2nd
Point Differential
-16.3
32nd
Points For
10.9
32nd
Points Against
27.3
31st
Total Yards
279.4
29th
Passing Yards
154.1
24th
Rushing Yards
112.0
19th
Total Yards Allowed
372.9
29th
Passing Allowed
162.4
6th
Rushing Allowed
137.6
27th

Conversions For

3rd Down
32%
28th
4th Down
36%
29th
Red Zone
32%
31st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
44%
29th
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
61%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
25th
Created
1.3
30th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
29th
Created
0.5
31st

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
19th
Created
0.8
7th