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LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2013 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
145419th
Point Diff / Game
-1.017th
Net EPA / Play
-0.01616th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ARI logo
ARI
W
27-24
+3
-4
L
10
2
ATL logo
ATL@
L
24-31
-7
+4
L
15
3
DAL logo
DAL@
L
07-31
-24
+3
L
-19
4
SF logo
SF
L
11-35
-24
+3.5
L
-24
5
JAX logo
JAX
W
34-20
+14
-11
W
4
6
HOU logo
HOU@
W
38-13
+25
+9
W
20
7
CAR logo
CAR@
L
15-30
-15
+7.5
L
-93
8
SEA logo
SEA
L
09-14
-5
+14
W
7
9
TEN logo
TEN
L
21-28
-7
+3
L
-0
10
IND logo
IND@
W
38-08
+30
+8
W
47
11BYE WEEK
12
CHI logo
CHI
W
42-21
+21
-2.5
W
21
13
SF logo
SF@
L
13-23
-10
+7.5
L
12
14
ARI logo
ARI@
L
10-30
-20
+4.5
L
-13
15
NO logo
NO
W
27-16
+11
+7
W
22
16
TB logo
TB
W
23-13
+10
-3.5
W
11
17
SEA logo
SEA@
L
09-27
-18
+13
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
22nd
EPA / Pass
-0.07
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.13
27th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
5th
Sack EPA
-3.74
9th
Turnover EPA
-6.39
17th
Point Differential
-1.0
17th
Points For
21.8
21st
Points Against
22.8
12th
Total Yards
305.2
30th
Passing Yards
137.6
31st
Rushing Yards
109.8
19th
Total Yards Allowed
345.1
15th
Passing Allowed
242.3
28th
Rushing Allowed
102.9
9th

Conversions For

3rd Down
34%
28th
4th Down
33%
27th
Red Zone
50%
26th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
16th
4th Down
56%
22nd
Red Zone
51%
10th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
11th
Created
1.8
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
8th
Created
0.9
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
22nd
Created
0.9
1st