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LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
15-4
nfelo Rating
16612nd
Point Diff / Game
+7.64th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1364th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK@
W
33-13
+20
-6.5
W
50
2
ARI logo
ARI
W
34-00
+34
-13
W
82
3
LAC logo
LAC
W
35-23
+12
-7
W
42
4
MIN logo
MIN
W
38-31
+7
-7
P
15
5
SEA logo
SEA@
W
33-31
+2
-7.5
L
-8
6
DEN logo
DEN@
W
23-20
+3
-7
L
-26
7
SF logo
SF@
W
39-10
+29
-9
W
20
8
GB logo
GB
W
29-27
+2
-7.5
L
-10
9
NO logo
NO@
L
35-45
-10
-2
L
5
10
SEA logo
SEA
W
36-31
+5
-9.5
L
-4
11
KC logo
KC
W
54-51
+3
-3
P
-2
12BYE WEEK
13
DET logo
DET@
W
30-16
+14
-10
W
-3
14
CHI logo
CHI@
L
06-15
-9
-3
L
-30
15
PHI logo
PHI
L
23-30
-7
-13.5
L
-12
16
ARI logo
ARI@
W
31-09
+22
-14
W
13
17
SF logo
SF
W
48-32
+16
-10.5
W
8
18BYE WEEK
19
DAL logo
DAL
W
30-22
+8
-7
W
-18
20
NO logo
NO@
W
26-23
+3
+3
W
11
21
NE logo
NE
L
03-13
-10
+2
L
12

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.12
3rd
EPA / Pass
+0.16
5th
EPA / Rush
+0.06
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
19th
Sack EPA
-4.22
13th
Turnover EPA
-4.42
28th
Point Differential
+7.6
4th
Points For
30.8
2nd
Points Against
23.3
18th
Total Yards
412.9
3rd
Passing Yards
231.4
9th
Rushing Yards
139.3
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
355.2
20th
Passing Allowed
206.4
15th
Rushing Allowed
116.3
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
8th
4th Down
50%
19th
Red Zone
56%
19th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
6th
4th Down
60%
21st
Red Zone
58%
15th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
6th
Created
1.7
4th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
12th
Created
1.1
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
6th
Created
0.7
6th