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  4. 2019
LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2019 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
15857th
Point Diff / Game
+1.911th
Net EPA / Play
+0.03511th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CAR logo
CAR@
W
30-27
+3
-1.5
W
13
2
NO logo
NO
W
27-09
+18
-1.5
W
14
3
CLE logo
CLE@
W
20-13
+7
-4.5
W
8
4
TB logo
TB
L
40-55
-15
-9.5
L
-29
5
SEA logo
SEA@
L
29-30
-1
+1.5
W
5
6
SF logo
SF
L
07-20
-13
-3
L
-30
7
ATL logo
ATL@
W
37-10
+27
-3
W
48
8
CIN logo
CIN
W
24-10
+14
-11.5
W
15
9BYE WEEK
10
PIT logo
PIT@
L
12-17
-5
-4.5
L
-27
11
CHI logo
CHI
W
17-07
+10
-5.5
W
0
12
BAL logo
BAL
L
06-45
-39
+3
L
-56
13
ARI logo
ARI@
W
34-07
+27
-2.5
W
24
14
SEA logo
SEA
W
28-12
+16
12
15
DAL logo
DAL@
L
21-44
-23
-1
L
-11
16
SF logo
SF@
L
31-34
-3
+7
W
3
17
ARI logo
ARI
W
31-24
+7
-7
P
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
28th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
10th
EPA / Pass
-0.02
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
16th
Sack EPA
-3.34
8th
Turnover EPA
-6.92
8th
Point Differential
+1.9
11th
Points For
24.6
10th
Points Against
22.8
17th
Total Yards
375.0
6th
Passing Yards
165.8
26th
Rushing Yards
93.8
26th
Total Yards Allowed
339.6
14th
Passing Allowed
213.3
19th
Rushing Allowed
113.1
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
16th
4th Down
23%
31st
Red Zone
64%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
17th
4th Down
58%
25th
Red Zone
63%
30th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
22nd
Created
1.4
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
25th
Created
0.8
13th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
10th
Created
0.6
12th