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LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
16-5
nfelo Rating
16765th
Point Diff / Game
+5.76th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1146th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CHI logo
CHI
W
34-14
+20
-9.5
W
35
2
IND logo
IND@
W
27-24
+3
-4
L
5
3
TB logo
TB
W
34-24
+10
18
4
ARI logo
ARI
L
20-37
-17
-3.5
L
-22
5
SEA logo
SEA@
W
26-17
+9
-2.5
W
25
6
NYG logo
NYG@
W
38-11
+27
-7.5
W
22
7
DET logo
DET
W
28-19
+9
-16.5
L
-5
8
HOU logo
HOU@
W
38-22
+16
-16.5
L
7
9
TEN logo
TEN
L
16-28
-12
-7
L
-16
10
SF logo
SF@
L
10-31
-21
-3.5
L
-22
11BYE WEEK
12
GB logo
GB@
L
28-36
-8
-1
L
-4
13
JAX logo
JAX
W
37-07
+30
-14
W
14
14
ARI logo
ARI@
W
30-23
+7
+3
W
12
15
SEA logo
SEA
W
20-10
+10
-7
W
13
16
MIN logo
MIN@
W
30-23
+7
-3.5
W
-5
17
BAL logo
BAL@
W
20-19
+1
-5.5
L
-12
18
SF logo
SF
L
24-27
-3
-3.5
L
-14
19
ARI logo
ARI
W
34-11
+23
-4
W
17
20
TB logo
TB@
W
30-27
+3
+2.5
W
27
21
SF logo
SF
W
20-17
+3
-3.5
L
-68
22
CIN logo
CIN@
W
23-20
+3
-4.5
L
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.04
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.20
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.16
31st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
6th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
9th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
8th
Sack EPA
-3.45
9th
Turnover EPA
-5.99
14th
Point Differential
+5.7
6th
Points For
27.0
6th
Points Against
21.3
9th
Total Yards
373.4
7th
Passing Yards
255.0
1st
Rushing Yards
95.7
27th
Total Yards Allowed
333.3
13th
Passing Allowed
227.1
27th
Rushing Allowed
95.1
5th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
6th
4th Down
52%
17th
Red Zone
58%
17th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
7th
4th Down
51%
14th
Red Zone
53%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
21st
Created
1.4
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
26th
Created
1.1
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
11th
Created
0.3
28th