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  4. 2024
LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-8
nfelo Rating
156013th
Point Diff / Game
-0.417th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00917th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET@
L
20-26
-6
+5.5
L
-12
2
ARI logo
ARI@
L
10-41
-31
-1
L
-31
3
SF logo
SF
W
27-24
+3
+6
W
6
4
CHI logo
CHI@
L
18-24
-6
+3
L
-17
5
GB logo
GB
L
19-24
-5
+3
L
-38
6BYE WEEK
7
OAK logo
OAK
W
20-15
+5
-7
L
-6
8
MIN logo
MIN
W
30-20
+10
+3
W
19
9
SEA logo
SEA@
W
26-20
+6
-1.5
W
34
10
MIA logo
MIA
L
15-23
-8
-2.5
L
-16
11
NE logo
NE@
W
28-22
+6
-4
W
25
12
PHI logo
PHI
L
20-37
-17
+3
L
-15
13
NO logo
NO@
W
21-14
+7
-2.5
W
36
14
BUF logo
BUF
W
44-42
+2
+3.5
W
18
15
SF logo
SF@
W
12-06
+6
+3
W
6
16
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
19-09
+10
-3
W
21
17
ARI logo
ARI
W
13-09
+4
-6.5
L
-46
18
SEA logo
SEA
L
25-30
-5
+7.5
W
-0
19
MIN logo
MIN
W
27-09
+18
+2.5
W
13
20
PHI logo
PHI@
L
22-28
-6
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
27th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.03
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
13th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
26th
Sack EPA
-3.78
11th
Turnover EPA
-3.68
28th
Point Differential
-0.4
17th
Points For
21.9
19th
Points Against
22.3
15th
Total Yards
333.0
14th
Passing Yards
142.6
31st
Rushing Yards
103.5
23rd
Total Yards Allowed
348.6
25th
Passing Allowed
183.9
15th
Rushing Allowed
136.9
28th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
25th
4th Down
65%
7th
Red Zone
51%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
18th
4th Down
50%
6th
Red Zone
47%
4th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
6th
Created
1.1
17th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
7th
Created
0.7
15th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
11th
Created
0.4
25th