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  4. 2025
LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-6
nfelo Rating
16602nd
Point Diff / Game
+8.73rd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1653rd

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU
W
14-09
+5
-3
W
3
2
TEN logo
TEN@
W
33-19
+14
-5.5
W
25
3
PHI logo
PHI@
L
26-33
-7
+3.5
L
-1
4
IND logo
IND
W
27-20
+7
-3.5
W
13
5
SF logo
SF
L
23-26
-3
-7.5
L
4
6
BAL logo
BAL@
W
17-03
+14
-7
W
34
7
JAX logo
JAX@
W
35-07
+28
-3
W
18
8BYE WEEK
9
NO logo
NO
W
34-10
+24
-14.5
W
14
10
SF logo
SF@
W
42-26
+16
-5.5
W
29
11
SEA logo
SEA
W
21-19
+2
-3
L
-9
12
TB logo
TB
W
34-07
+27
-7
W
14
13
CAR logo
CAR@
L
28-31
-3
-10
L
-14
14
ARI logo
ARI@
W
45-17
+28
-9.5
W
26
15
DET logo
DET
W
41-34
+7
-5.5
W
9
16
SEA logo
SEA@
L
37-38
-1
+1.5
W
10
17
ATL logo
ATL@
L
24-27
-3
-7.5
L
-29
18
ARI logo
ARI
W
37-20
+17
-14.5
W
4
19
CAR logo
CAR@
W
34-31
+3
-10
L
-15
20
CHI logo
CHI@
W
20-17
+3
-3.5
L
-12
21
SEA logo
SEA@
L
27-31
-4
+2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.13
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.23
3rd
EPA / Rush
+0.00
10th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
11th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
13th
Sack EPA
-2.79
4th
Turnover EPA
-4.19
24th
Point Differential
+8.7
3rd
Points For
29.9
1st
Points Against
21.3
10th
Total Yards
396.9
1st
Passing Yards
219.8
3rd
Rushing Yards
124.7
9th
Total Yards Allowed
336.0
19th
Passing Allowed
176.8
13th
Rushing Allowed
110.2
11th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
23rd
4th Down
66%
5th
Red Zone
64%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
12th
4th Down
51%
10th
Red Zone
53%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
4th
Created
1.6
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
3rd
Created
1.0
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
11th
Created
0.6
10th