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  4. 2025
LAR logo

Los Angeles Rams

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

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Season Overview

Record
10-3
nfelo Rating
16921st
Point Diff / Game
+11.72nd
Net EPA / Play
+0.2192nd

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU
W
14-09
+5
-3
W
3
2
TEN logo
TEN@
W
33-19
+14
-5.5
W
25
3
PHI logo
PHI@
L
26-33
-7
+3.5
L
-1
4
IND logo
IND
W
27-20
+7
-3.5
W
13
5
SF logo
SF
L
23-26
-3
-7.5
L
4
6
BAL logo
BAL@
W
17-03
+14
-7
W
34
7
JAX logo
JAX@
W
35-07
+28
-3
W
18
8BYE WEEK
9
NO logo
NO
W
34-10
+24
-14.5
W
14
10
SF logo
SF@
W
42-26
+16
-5.5
W
29
11
SEA logo
SEA
W
21-19
+2
-3
L
-9
12
TB logo
TB
W
34-07
+27
-7
W
14
13
CAR logo
CAR@
L
28-31
-3
-10
L
-14
14
ARI logo
ARI@
W
45-17
+28
-9.5
W
26
15
DET logo
DET
12/14
-
-5.5
-
-
16
SEA logo
SEA@
12/18
-
-
-
17
ATL logo
ATL@
12/29
-
-
-
18
ARI logo
ARI
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.12
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.22
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.00
14th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.09
3rd
EPA / Pass
-0.13
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.07
6th
Sack EPA
-2.92
5th
Turnover EPA
-4.70
21st
Point Differential
+11.7
2nd
Points For
29.2
4th
Points Against
17.5
3rd
Total Yards
373.2
4th
Passing Yards
203.6
8th
Rushing Yards
123.9
11th
Total Yards Allowed
315.0
13th
Passing Allowed
165.5
8th
Rushing Allowed
103.5
11th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
17th
4th Down
68%
6th
Red Zone
67%
3rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
8th
4th Down
53%
13th
Red Zone
43%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
4th
Created
1.6
5th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.3
1st
Created
1.0
6th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
20th
Created
0.6
5th