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Miami Dolphins

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
152316th
Point Diff / Game
+0.914th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01114th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE
W
33-20
+13
+4
W
11
2
BUF logo
BUF@
L
10-29
-19
+1
L
-7
3
KC logo
KC
L
15-34
-19
-5.5
L
-16
4
OAK logo
OAK@
W
38-14
+24
-4
W
22
5BYE WEEK
6
GB logo
GB
L
24-27
-3
+1.5
L
6
7
CHI logo
CHI@
W
27-14
+13
+3
W
23
8
JAX logo
JAX@
W
27-13
+14
-7
W
22
9
LAC logo
LAC
W
37-00
+37
-3
W
31
10
DET logo
DET@
L
16-20
-4
+3
L
-5
11
BUF logo
BUF
W
22-09
+13
-4
W
11
12
DEN logo
DEN@
L
36-39
-3
+7
W
28
13
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
16-13
+3
-7
L
-28
14
BAL logo
BAL
L
13-28
-15
-3
L
-23
15
NE logo
NE@
L
13-41
-28
+9
L
-18
16
MIN logo
MIN
W
37-35
+2
-4.5
L
-3
17
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
24-37
-13
-7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
17th
Sack EPA
-4.43
21st
Turnover EPA
-6.01
18th
Point Differential
+0.9
14th
Points For
24.3
11th
Points Against
23.3
19th
Total Yards
350.2
14th
Passing Yards
196.4
17th
Rushing Yards
117.1
12th
Total Yards Allowed
343.8
11th
Passing Allowed
191.9
11th
Rushing Allowed
121.3
23rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
15th
4th Down
37%
25th
Red Zone
51%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
44%
28th
4th Down
59%
27th
Red Zone
52%
13th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
11th
Created
1.6
11th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
8th
Created
0.9
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
15th
Created
0.8
6th