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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
148120th
Point Diff / Game
-1.117th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02019th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TB logo
TB
L
17-20
-3
-4
L
-7
2
PHI logo
PHI@
L
28-34
-6
+6
P
16
3
LAC logo
LAC
L
24-28
-4
-8
4
CAR logo
CAR@
W
21-13
+8
-4.5
W
25
5
KC logo
KC
L
20-27
-7
+3
L
-6
6
CHI logo
CHI@
W
19-13
+6
-3
W
-2
7
SF logo
SF
W
22-17
+5
+6.5
W
23
8
GB logo
GB@
W
24-10
+14
-114
9
ATL logo
ATL@
W
31-28
+3
+3.5
W
55
10
NO logo
NO
W
27-19
+8
+3
W
22
11
DEN logo
DEN@
L
20-21
-1
+2.5
W
7
12
CHI logo
CHI
L
10-12
-2
-3
L
-22
13BYE WEEK
14
OAK logo
OAK@
W
03-00
+3
-3
P
22
15
CIN logo
CIN@
L
24-27
-3
+3
P
2
16
DET logo
DET
L
24-30
-6
+2.5
L
-54
17
GB logo
GB
L
10-33
-23
41
18
DET logo
DET@
L
20-30
-10
+3.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
21st
EPA / Pass
-0.02
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
17th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.10
8th
Sack EPA
-5.80
27th
Turnover EPA
-8.37
5th
Point Differential
-1.1
17th
Points For
20.2
22nd
Points Against
21.3
12th
Total Yards
347.9
11th
Passing Yards
234.3
2nd
Rushing Yards
91.4
29th
Total Yards Allowed
333.4
16th
Passing Allowed
217.2
28th
Rushing Allowed
98.9
6th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
18th
4th Down
59%
8th
Red Zone
47%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
24th
4th Down
72%
32nd
Red Zone
54%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
31st
Created
1.3
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
29th
Created
0.6
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
29th
Created
0.6
8th