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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-8
nfelo Rating
143222nd
Point Diff / Game
-2.020th
Net EPA / Play
-0.05921st

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CHI logo
CHI@
W
27-24
+3
+1
W
6
2
ATL logo
ATL
L
06-22
-16
-3.5
L
-18
3
CIN logo
CIN
W
48-10
+38
-3
W
15
4
PIT logo
PIT@
L
21-24
-3
-2.5
L
-6
5
CLE logo
CLE@
W
21-17
+4
-3.5
W
-6
6BYE WEEK
7
PHI logo
PHI
L
22-28
-6
+2.5
L
-17
8
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-37
-27
+3.5
L
-23
9
DET logo
DET@
W
27-24
+3
+9.5
W
6
10
BAL logo
BAL
L
19-27
-8
+4.5
L
-14
11
CHI logo
CHI
L
17-19
-2
-2.5
L
-10
12
GB logo
GB@
L
06-23
-17
+6.5
L
-11
13
SEA logo
SEA@
L
00-26
-26
+12
L
-35
14
WAS logo
WAS
W
31-00
+31
+1
W
20
15
DAL logo
DAL@
12/14
-
+6
-
-
16
NYG logo
NYG@
12/21
-
-
-
17
DET logo
DET
12/25
-
-
-
18
GB logo
GB
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.12
28th
EPA / Pass
-0.23
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
21st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
5th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
15th
Sack EPA
-5.66
28th
Turnover EPA
-8.31
2nd
Point Differential
-2.0
20th
Points For
19.6
26th
Points Against
21.6
12th
Total Yards
276.0
28th
Passing Yards
160.2
27th
Rushing Yards
104.2
24th
Total Yards Allowed
299.2
8th
Passing Allowed
172.5
12th
Rushing Allowed
126.8
22nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
32%
30th
4th Down
53%
18th
Red Zone
59%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
9th
4th Down
67%
26th
Red Zone
46%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
32nd
Created
1.2
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.5
32nd
Created
0.4
28th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.8
2nd