nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. teams...
  3. ne...
  4. 2018
NE logo

New England Patriots

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Overview

Record
14-5
nfelo Rating
16861st
Point Diff / Game
+7.45th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1275th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU
W
27-20
+7
-6
W
-19
2
JAX logo
JAX@
L
20-31
-11
-1.5
L
-10
3
DET logo
DET@
L
10-26
-16
-7
L
-23
4
MIA logo
MIA
W
38-07
+31
-6.5
W
13
5
IND logo
IND
W
38-24
+14
-11
W
26
6
KC logo
KC
W
43-40
+3
-4
L
0
7
CHI logo
CHI@
W
38-31
+7
-2
W
10
8
BUF logo
BUF@
W
25-06
+19
-14
W
6
9
GB logo
GB
W
31-17
+14
-5
W
4
10
TEN logo
TEN@
L
10-34
-24
-6.5
L
-23
11BYE WEEK
12
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
27-13
+14
-12.5
W
32
13
MIN logo
MIN
W
24-10
+14
-6
W
16
14
MIA logo
MIA@
L
33-34
-1
-9
L
-5
15
PIT logo
PIT@
L
10-17
-7
-2.5
L
-10
16
BUF logo
BUF
W
24-12
+12
-13.5
L
-19
17
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
38-03
+35
-14
W
24
18BYE WEEK
19
LAC logo
LAC
W
41-28
+13
-4
W
15
20
KC logo
KC@
W
37-31
+6
+3
W
7
21
LAR logo
LAR@
W
13-03
+10
-2
W
-51

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.08
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
7th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
6th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.02
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
13th
Sack EPA
-2.31
2nd
Turnover EPA
-4.47
27th
Point Differential
+7.4
5th
Points For
27.7
4th
Points Against
20.4
6th
Total Yards
406.5
4th
Passing Yards
173.8
25th
Rushing Yards
132.7
5th
Total Yards Allowed
349.1
15th
Passing Allowed
198.1
9th
Rushing Allowed
101.3
7th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
9th
4th Down
50%
19th
Red Zone
63%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
15th
4th Down
41%
4th
Red Zone
63%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
10th
Created
1.6
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
12th
Created
1.1
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
8th
Created
0.6
14th