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nfelo

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New Orleans Saints

NFC South

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1380
Week 22, 2024
Best nfelo
1806
Week 13, 2020
Worst nfelo
1380
Week 18, 2024

Season History

2024
5-12
PF: 19.9 |PA: 23.4
nfelo: 1294
Rank #31
2023
9-8
PF: 23.6 |PA: 19.2
nfelo: 1499
Rank #16
2022
7-10
PF: 19.4 |PA: 20.3
nfelo: 1512
Rank #11
2021
9-8
PF: 21.4 |PA: 19.7
nfelo: 1467
Rank #22
2020
13-5
PF: 29.1 |PA: 20.9
nfelo: 1758
Rank #1
2019
13-4
PF: 28.1 |PA: 21.6
nfelo: 1717
Rank #3
2018
14-4
PF: 30.4 |PA: 21.8
nfelo: 1643
Rank #5
2017
12-6
PF: 27.9 |PA: 21.2
nfelo: 1616
Rank #3
2016
7-9
PF: 29.3 |PA: 28.4
nfelo: 1550
Rank #10
2015
7-9
PF: 25.5 |PA: 29.8
nfelo: 1443
Rank #21
2014
7-9
PF: 25.1 |PA: 26.5
nfelo: 1546
Rank #13
2013
12-6
PF: 25.3 |PA: 19.5
nfelo: 1616
Rank #5
2012
7-9
PF: 28.8 |PA: 28.4
nfelo: 1572
Rank #8
2011
14-4
PF: 34.7 |PA: 22.4
nfelo: 1759
Rank #1
2010
11-6
PF: 24.7 |PA: 20.5
nfelo: 1596
Rank #8
2009
16-3
PF: 32.5 |PA: 21.1
nfelo: 1661
Rank #3
nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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