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New Orleans Saints

NFC South

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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nfelo History

Current nfelo
1407
Week 22, 2025
Best nfelo
1806
Week 13, 2020
Worst nfelo
1335
Week 10, 2025

Season History

2025
6-11
PF: 18.0 |PA: 22.5
nfelo: 1418
Rank #23
2024
5-12
PF: 19.9 |PA: 23.4
nfelo: 1292
Rank #31
2023
9-8
PF: 23.6 |PA: 19.2
nfelo: 1498
Rank #16
2022
7-10
PF: 19.4 |PA: 20.3
nfelo: 1510
Rank #12
2021
9-8
PF: 21.4 |PA: 19.7
nfelo: 1464
Rank #22
2020
13-5
PF: 29.1 |PA: 20.9
nfelo: 1757
Rank #1
2019
13-4
PF: 28.1 |PA: 21.6
nfelo: 1717
Rank #2
2018
14-4
PF: 30.4 |PA: 21.8
nfelo: 1640
Rank #5
2017
12-6
PF: 27.9 |PA: 21.2
nfelo: 1616
Rank #3
2016
7-9
PF: 29.3 |PA: 28.4
nfelo: 1549
Rank #10
2015
7-9
PF: 25.5 |PA: 29.8
nfelo: 1442
Rank #21
2014
7-9
PF: 25.1 |PA: 26.5
nfelo: 1541
Rank #13
2013
12-6
PF: 25.3 |PA: 19.5
nfelo: 1613
Rank #5
2012
7-9
PF: 28.8 |PA: 28.4
nfelo: 1567
Rank #8
2011
14-4
PF: 34.7 |PA: 22.4
nfelo: 1761
Rank #1
2010
11-6
PF: 24.7 |PA: 20.5
nfelo: 1594
Rank #8
2009
16-3
PF: 32.5 |PA: 21.1
nfelo: 1658
Rank #3