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NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2013 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-6
nfelo Rating
16145th
Point Diff / Game
+5.88th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0997th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ATL logo
ATL
W
23-17
+6
-3.5
W
5
2
TB logo
TB@
W
16-14
+2
-3
L
-12
3
ARI logo
ARI
W
31-07
+24
-7.5
W
13
4
MIA logo
MIA
W
38-17
+21
-7
W
20
5
CHI logo
CHI@
W
26-18
+8
28
6
NE logo
NE@
L
27-30
-3
+1.5
L
-5
7BYE WEEK
8
BUF logo
BUF
W
35-17
+18
-10.5
W
6
9
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
20-26
-6
-6
L
-11
10
DAL logo
DAL
W
49-17
+32
-6.5
W
46
11
SF logo
SF
W
23-20
+3
-3
P
-7
12
ATL logo
ATL@
W
17-13
+4
-7.5
L
-17
13
SEA logo
SEA@
L
07-34
-27
+6.5
L
-22
14
CAR logo
CAR
W
31-13
+18
-3
W
21
15
LAR logo
LAR@
L
16-27
-11
-7
L
-14
16
CAR logo
CAR@
L
13-17
-4
+3.5
L
-17
17
TB logo
TB
W
42-17
+25
-10.5
W
21
18
PHI logo
PHI@
W
26-24
+2
+3
W
-2
19
SEA logo
SEA@
L
15-23
-8
+9
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.08
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.21
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.04
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
11th
EPA / Pass
-0.07
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
25th
Sack EPA
-3.44
5th
Turnover EPA
-4.35
28th
Point Differential
+5.8
8th
Points For
25.3
11th
Points Against
19.5
4th
Total Yards
401.3
3rd
Passing Yards
303.1
1st
Rushing Yards
98.2
23rd
Total Yards Allowed
301.4
2nd
Passing Allowed
179.2
3rd
Rushing Allowed
113.4
20th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
4th
4th Down
45%
16th
Red Zone
55%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
34%
5th
4th Down
43%
13th
Red Zone
55%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
1st
Created
1.2
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
11th
Created
0.7
28th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
2nd
Created
0.6
22nd