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NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2019 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-4
nfelo Rating
17133rd
Point Diff / Game
+6.56th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1215th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
HOU logo
HOU
W
30-28
+2
-7
L
-0
2
LAR logo
LAR@
L
09-27
-18
+1.5
L
-115
3
SEA logo
SEA@
W
33-27
+6
+5
W
20
4
DAL logo
DAL
W
12-10
+2
+2.5
W
3
5
TB logo
TB
W
31-24
+7
-3
W
22
6
JAX logo
JAX@
W
13-06
+7
+2.5
W
11
7
CHI logo
CHI@
W
36-25
+11
+4.5
W
75
8
ARI logo
ARI
W
31-09
+22
-12.5
W
17
9BYE WEEK
10
ATL logo
ATL
L
09-26
-17
-13.5
L
-22
11
TB logo
TB@
W
34-17
+17
-5.5
W
13
12
CAR logo
CAR
W
34-31
+3
-10
L
-1
13
ATL logo
ATL@
W
26-18
+8
-7
W
-9
14
SF logo
SF
L
46-48
-2
-1.5
L
1
15
IND logo
IND
W
34-07
+27
-8.5
W
29
16
TEN logo
TEN@
W
38-28
+10
-3
W
10
17
CAR logo
CAR@
W
42-10
+32
-14
W
43
18
MIN logo
MIN
L
20-26
-6
-7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.17
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
14th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
8th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.14
5th
Sack EPA
-3.11
7th
Turnover EPA
-1.96
32nd
Point Differential
+6.5
6th
Points For
28.1
5th
Points Against
21.6
14th
Total Yards
370.9
9th
Passing Yards
160.9
29th
Rushing Yards
107.9
16th
Total Yards Allowed
334.9
10th
Passing Allowed
217.1
20th
Rushing Allowed
93.9
4th

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
11th
4th Down
38%
24th
Red Zone
58%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
8th
4th Down
44%
11th
Red Zone
61%
23rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.6
1st
Created
1.4
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
4th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.2
1st
Created
0.6
9th