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  4. 2023
NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
149816th
Point Diff / Game
+4.47th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0867th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TEN logo
TEN
W
16-15
+1
-3
L
-15
2
CAR logo
CAR@
W
20-17
+3
-3
P
-10
3
GB logo
GB@
L
17-18
-1
-1.5
L
0
4
TB logo
TB
L
09-26
-17
-4.5
L
-22
5
NE logo
NE@
W
34-00
+34
+2
W
28
6
HOU logo
HOU@
L
13-20
-7
-2
L
-9
7
JAX logo
JAX
L
24-31
-7
-2.5
L
-8
8
IND logo
IND@
W
38-27
+11
-2
W
20
9
CHI logo
CHI
W
24-17
+7
-9
L
-13
10
MIN logo
MIN@
L
19-27
-8
-3
L
-15
11BYE WEEK
12
ATL logo
ATL@
L
15-24
-9
-1
L
-22
13
DET logo
DET
L
28-33
-5
+4
L
-14
14
CAR logo
CAR
W
28-06
+22
-5.5
W
6
15
NYG logo
NYG
W
24-06
+18
-6
W
21
16
LAR logo
LAR@
L
22-30
-8
+4
L
0
17
TB logo
TB@
W
23-13
+10
+2.5
W
12
18
ATL logo
ATL
W
48-17
+31
-3
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
24th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.14
3rd
EPA / Pass
-0.13
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
14th
Sack EPA
-3.78
10th
Turnover EPA
-4.32
26th
Point Differential
+4.4
7th
Points For
23.6
10th
Points Against
19.2
6th
Total Yards
337.6
13th
Passing Yards
222.4
4th
Rushing Yards
102.7
21st
Total Yards Allowed
327.4
13th
Passing Allowed
184.9
16th
Rushing Allowed
119.9
22nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
15th
4th Down
47%
22nd
Red Zone
53%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
4th
4th Down
42%
3rd
Red Zone
51%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
11th
Created
1.7
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
10th
Created
1.1
3rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
10th
Created
0.6
8th