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  4. 2024
NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-12
nfelo Rating
129231st
Point Diff / Game
-3.522nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.07523rd

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CAR logo
CAR
W
47-10
+37
-3.5
W
20
2
DAL logo
DAL@
W
44-19
+25
+6.5
W
17
3
PHI logo
PHI
L
12-15
-3
-2.5
L
-20
4
ATL logo
ATL@
L
24-26
-2
+3
W
-13
5
KC logo
KC@
L
13-26
-13
+5
L
-97
6
TB logo
TB
L
27-51
-24
+3.5
L
-23
7
DEN logo
DEN
L
10-33
-23
+2.5
L
-31
8
LAC logo
LAC@
L
08-26
-18
+7
L
93
9
CAR logo
CAR@
L
22-23
-1
-7
L
-10
10
ATL logo
ATL
W
20-17
+3
+3.5
W
12
11
CLE logo
CLE
W
35-14
+21
+1
W
18
12BYE WEEK
13
LAR logo
LAR
L
14-21
-7
+2.5
L
-38
14
NYG logo
NYG@
W
14-11
+3
-5.5
L
-101
15
WAS logo
WAS
L
19-20
-1
+7.5
W
-2
16
GB logo
GB@
L
00-34
-34
+14
L
-13
17
OAK logo
OAK
L
10-25
-15
+1.5
L
-39
18
TB logo
TB@
L
19-27
-8
+14.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.07
26th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
25th
EPA / Rush
+0.00
10th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
13th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
9th
EPA / Rush
+0.08
30th
Sack EPA
-4.09
17th
Turnover EPA
-4.92
19th
Point Differential
-3.5
22nd
Points For
19.9
24th
Points Against
23.4
18th
Total Yards
320.2
21st
Passing Yards
178.5
21st
Rushing Yards
114.9
15th
Total Yards Allowed
380.3
30th
Passing Allowed
216.4
28th
Rushing Allowed
141.5
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
28th
4th Down
56%
17th
Red Zone
58%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
21st
4th Down
52%
10th
Red Zone
56%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
9th
Created
1.1
16th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
17th
Created
0.8
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
4th
Created
0.3
27th