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  4. 2025
NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

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Season Overview

Record
3-10
nfelo Rating
134529th
Point Diff / Game
-8.430th
Net EPA / Play
-0.16230th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ARI logo
ARI
L
13-20
-7
+6
L
-12
2
SF logo
SF
L
21-26
-5
+3
L
4
3
SEA logo
SEA@
L
13-44
-31
+7.5
L
-9
4
BUF logo
BUF@
L
19-31
-12
+14.5
W
7
5
NYG logo
NYG
W
26-14
+12
-2.5
W
14
6
NE logo
NE
L
19-25
-6
+3.5
L
-4
7
CHI logo
CHI@
L
14-26
-12
+3.5
L
-14
8
TB logo
TB
L
03-23
-20
+3.5
L
-20
9
LAR logo
LAR@
L
10-34
-24
+14.5
L
-9
10
CAR logo
CAR@
W
17-07
+10
+5.5
W
18
11BYE WEEK
12
ATL logo
ATL
L
10-24
-14
-1.5
L
-13
13
MIA logo
MIA@
L
17-21
-4
+5.5
W
7
14
TB logo
TB@
W
24-20
+4
+7.5
W
12
15
CAR logo
CAR
12/14
-
+2.5
-
-
16
NYJ logo
NYJ
12/21
-
-
-
17
TEN logo
TEN@
12/28
-
-
-
18
ATL logo
ATL@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.17
29th
EPA / Pass
-0.16
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
31st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
5th
Sack EPA
-4.96
24th
Turnover EPA
-6.70
6th
Point Differential
-8.4
30th
Points For
15.8
30th
Points Against
24.2
21st
Total Yards
293.9
26th
Passing Yards
180.6
16th
Rushing Yards
94.5
28th
Total Yards Allowed
313.8
12th
Passing Allowed
155.3
4th
Rushing Allowed
131.2
24th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
20th
4th Down
33%
32nd
Red Zone
41%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
6th
4th Down
48%
8th
Red Zone
56%
15th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
25th
Created
1.2
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
22nd
Created
0.6
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
25th
Created
0.6
5th