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NYG logo

New York Giants

2014 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
150418th
Point Diff / Game
-1.319th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02118th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET@
L
14-35
-21
+6.5
L
-36
2
ARI logo
ARI
L
14-25
-11
-2
L
-8
3
HOU logo
HOU
W
30-17
+13
-1
W
27
4
WAS logo
WAS@
W
45-14
+31
+3
W
30
5
ATL logo
ATL
W
30-20
+10
-4
W
30
6
PHI logo
PHI@
L
00-27
-27
+1.5
L
-23
7
DAL logo
DAL@
L
21-31
-10
+5.5
L
-5
8BYE WEEK
9
IND logo
IND
L
24-40
-16
+3
L
-14
10
SEA logo
SEA@
L
17-38
-21
+9.5
L
-6
11
SF logo
SF
L
10-16
-6
+4
L
-43
12
DAL logo
DAL
L
28-31
-3
+5
W
21
13
JAX logo
JAX@
L
24-25
-1
-3
L
-5
14
TEN logo
TEN@
W
36-07
+29
-3
W
32
15
WAS logo
WAS
W
24-13
+11
-7
W
22
16
LAR logo
LAR@
W
37-27
+10
+6.5
W
23
17
PHI logo
PHI
L
26-34
-8
-1
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.04
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
26th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
25th
Sack EPA
-3.76
14th
Turnover EPA
-7.57
9th
Point Differential
-1.3
19th
Points For
23.8
13th
Points Against
25.0
22nd
Total Yards
367.2
11th
Passing Yards
208.4
12th
Rushing Yards
100.2
23rd
Total Yards Allowed
375.9
29th
Passing Allowed
240.8
31st
Rushing Allowed
135.1
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
10th
4th Down
31%
31st
Red Zone
59%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
4th
4th Down
40%
9th
Red Zone
48%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
22nd
Created
1.8
9th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
15th
Created
1.1
11th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
22nd
Created
0.7
10th