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  4. 2023
NYG logo

New York Giants

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-11
nfelo Rating
139130th
Point Diff / Game
-8.330th
Net EPA / Play
-0.15629th

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DAL logo
DAL
L
00-40
-40
+3
L
-31
2
ARI logo
ARI@
W
31-28
+3
-5
L
30
3
SF logo
SF@
L
12-30
-18
+10.5
L
-14
4
SEA logo
SEA
L
03-24
-21
+2.5
L
-31
5
MIA logo
MIA@
L
16-31
-15
+12.5
L
-49
6
BUF logo
BUF@
L
09-14
-5
+14.5
W
13
7
WAS logo
WAS
W
14-07
+7
+3
W
15
8
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
10-13
-3
+3
P
8
9
OAK logo
OAK@
L
06-30
-24
+1.5
L
-58
10
DAL logo
DAL@
L
17-49
-32
+17.5
L
-43
11
WAS logo
WAS@
W
31-19
+12
+7.5
W
30
12
NE logo
NE
W
10-07
+3
+4.5
W
7
13BYE WEEK
14
GB logo
GB
W
24-22
+2
+5.5
W
23
15
NO logo
NO@
L
06-24
-18
+6
L
-16
16
PHI logo
PHI@
L
25-33
-8
+14
W
37
17
LAR logo
LAR
L
25-26
-1
+6.5
W
2
18
PHI logo
PHI
W
27-10
+17
+5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.20
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.22
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.15
29th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
17th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
12th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
31st
Sack EPA
-7.14
30th
Turnover EPA
-4.60
21st
Point Differential
-8.3
30th
Points For
15.6
30th
Points Against
23.9
26th
Total Yards
280.1
29th
Passing Yards
160.5
29th
Rushing Yards
110.4
16th
Total Yards Allowed
361.8
27th
Passing Allowed
157.5
5th
Rushing Allowed
132.5
29th

Conversions For

3rd Down
30%
30th
4th Down
49%
20th
Red Zone
44%
31st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
10th
4th Down
53%
20th
Red Zone
61%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
11th
Created
1.9
1st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
15th
Created
1.1
3rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
6th
Created
0.8
1st