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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
141924th
Point Diff / Game
-7.426th
Net EPA / Play
-0.12026th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK
W
19-14
+5
-6.5
L
-2
2
GB logo
GB@
L
24-31
-7
+7
P
4
3
CHI logo
CHI
L
19-27
-8
-1.5
L
-7
4
DET logo
DET
L
17-24
-7
-1.5
L
-11
5
LAC logo
LAC@
L
00-31
-31
+7
L
-20
6
DEN logo
DEN
L
17-31
-14
+9.5
L
-38
7
NE logo
NE@
L
25-27
-2
+9.5
W
21
8
BUF logo
BUF
L
23-43
-20
-3
L
59
9
KC logo
KC@
L
10-24
-14
+8.5
L
-20
10
PIT logo
PIT
W
20-13
+7
+4.5
W
1
11BYE WEEK
12
BUF logo
BUF@
L
03-38
-35
+4.5
L
-149
13
MIA logo
MIA
L
13-16
-3
+7
W
17
14
MIN logo
MIN@
L
24-30
-6
+4.5
L
14
15
TEN logo
TEN@
W
16-11
+5
-3.5
W
60
16
NE logo
NE
L
16-17
-1
+10
W
21
17
MIA logo
MIA@
W
37-24
+13
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.08
24th
EPA / Pass
-0.13
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
10th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
26th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
15th
Sack EPA
-4.85
25th
Turnover EPA
-6.19
15th
Point Differential
-7.4
26th
Points For
17.7
28th
Points Against
25.1
24th
Total Yards
326.6
22nd
Passing Yards
184.1
23rd
Rushing Yards
142.5
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
327.3
7th
Passing Allowed
234.1
30th
Rushing Allowed
93.1
5th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
20th
4th Down
56%
7th
Red Zone
36%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
30th
4th Down
--
1st
Red Zone
59%
27th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
16th
Created
0.9
30th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
17th
Created
0.4
30th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
10th
Created
0.5
21st