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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-6
nfelo Rating
15709th
Point Diff / Game
+4.68th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0788th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE
W
31-10
+21
-3.5
W
11
2
IND logo
IND@
W
20-07
+13
+6
W
14
3
PHI logo
PHI
L
17-24
-7
-3
L
-12
4
MIA logo
MIA@
W
27-14
+13
-2.5
W
12
5BYE WEEK
6
WAS logo
WAS
W
34-20
+14
-7.5
W
19
7
NE logo
NE@
L
23-30
-7
+7
P
12
8
OAK logo
OAK@
L
20-34
-14
-3
L
-18
9
JAX logo
JAX
W
28-23
+5
-7.5
L
-5
10
BUF logo
BUF
L
17-22
-5
-2.5
L
-14
11
HOU logo
HOU@
L
17-24
-7
-4
L
-17
12
MIA logo
MIA
W
38-20
+18
-4.5
W
26
13
NYG logo
NYG@
W
23-20
+3
-2.5
W
37
14
TEN logo
TEN
W
30-08
+22
-8
W
12
15
DAL logo
DAL@
W
19-16
+3
-3.5
L
-4
16
NE logo
NE
W
26-20
+6
+2.5
W
19
17
BUF logo
BUF@
L
17-22
-5
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.02
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
9th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.10
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
9th
EPA / Rush
-0.22
1st
Sack EPA
-2.48
2nd
Turnover EPA
-5.33
24th
Point Differential
+4.6
8th
Points For
24.2
10th
Points Against
19.6
7th
Total Yards
370.3
10th
Passing Yards
212.9
15th
Rushing Yards
116.8
10th
Total Yards Allowed
318.8
4th
Passing Allowed
198.8
9th
Rushing Allowed
83.4
2nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
11th
4th Down
43%
25th
Red Zone
66%
3rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
33%
3rd
4th Down
57%
21st
Red Zone
35%
1st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
19th
Created
1.8
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
22nd
Created
1.1
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
15th
Created
0.6
12th