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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2016 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
139128th
Point Diff / Game
-8.429th
Net EPA / Play
-0.14929th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CIN logo
CIN
L
22-23
-1
+1
P
-4
2
BUF logo
BUF@
W
37-31
+6
29
3
KC logo
KC@
L
03-24
-21
+3
L
-30
4
SEA logo
SEA
L
17-27
-10
-18
5
PIT logo
PIT@
L
13-31
-18
+9.5
L
-14
6
ARI logo
ARI@
L
03-28
-25
+7
L
-50
7
BAL logo
BAL
W
24-16
+8
-2
W
48
8
CLE logo
CLE@
W
31-28
+3
-2.5
W
3
9
MIA logo
MIA@
L
23-27
-4
+4
P
-61
10
LAR logo
LAR
L
06-09
-3
+1
L
16
11BYE WEEK
12
NE logo
NE
L
17-22
-5
+9.5
W
15
13
IND logo
IND
L
10-41
-31
-1
L
-84
14
SF logo
SF@
W
23-17
+6
+3
W
8
15
MIA logo
MIA
L
13-34
-21
+2.5
L
-55
16
NE logo
NE@
L
03-41
-38
+17
L
57
17
BUF logo
BUF
W
30-10
+20
+4
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.13
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.13
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.04
9th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
23rd
EPA / Pass
+0.16
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.18
1st
Sack EPA
-3.12
5th
Turnover EPA
-8.90
3rd
Point Differential
-8.4
29th
Points For
17.2
30th
Points Against
25.6
28th
Total Yards
329.4
26th
Passing Yards
204.9
15th
Rushing Yards
112.8
11th
Total Yards Allowed
342.6
11th
Passing Allowed
192.6
12th
Rushing Allowed
98.8
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
26th
4th Down
42%
26th
Red Zone
37%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
19th
4th Down
20%
1st
Red Zone
57%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.1
31st
Created
0.8
30th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.6
32nd
Created
0.5
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
16th
Created
0.3
27th