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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
136426th
Point Diff / Game
-6.829th
Net EPA / Play
-0.12029th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET@
W
48-17
+31
+7
W
15
2
MIA logo
MIA
L
12-20
-8
-3
L
-10
3
CLE logo
CLE@
L
17-21
-4
+3
L
-11
4
JAX logo
JAX@
L
12-31
-19
+7.5
L
-9
5
DEN logo
DEN
W
34-16
+18
+1
W
13
6
IND logo
IND
W
42-34
+8
-2.5
W
11
7
MIN logo
MIN
L
17-37
-20
+3.5
L
-20
8
CHI logo
CHI@
L
10-24
-14
+8.5
L
-12
9
MIA logo
MIA@
L
06-13
-7
+3
L
56
10
BUF logo
BUF
L
10-41
-31
-7
L
-29
11BYE WEEK
12
NE logo
NE
L
13-27
-14
+12.5
L
-29
13
TEN logo
TEN@
L
22-26
-4
+9.5
W
-46
14
BUF logo
BUF@
W
27-23
+4
+4.5
W
14
15
HOU logo
HOU
L
22-29
-7
+7
P
-4
16
GB logo
GB
L
38-44
-6
+3
L
10
17
NE logo
NE@
L
03-38
-35
+14
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.14
29th
EPA / Pass
-0.12
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.16
31st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
22nd
Sack EPA
-3.60
9th
Turnover EPA
-8.07
4th
Point Differential
-6.8
29th
Points For
20.8
23rd
Points Against
27.6
29th
Total Yards
299.0
29th
Passing Yards
187.2
23rd
Rushing Yards
101.2
26th
Total Yards Allowed
380.6
25th
Passing Allowed
198.9
11th
Rushing Allowed
126.4
26th

Conversions For

3rd Down
32%
29th
4th Down
50%
19th
Red Zone
44%
30th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
34%
2nd
4th Down
64%
25th
Red Zone
53%
9th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
28th
Created
1.3
17th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
29th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
22nd
Created
0.5
18th