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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
147718th
Point Diff / Game
-1.217th
Net EPA / Play
-0.03623rd

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BAL logo
BAL
L
09-24
-15
+7
L
-36
2
CLE logo
CLE@
W
31-30
+1
+6.5
W
14
3
CIN logo
CIN
L
12-27
-15
+6.5
L
-71
4
PIT logo
PIT@
W
24-20
+4
+3
W
28
5
MIA logo
MIA
W
40-17
+23
+3
W
29
6
GB logo
GB@
W
27-10
+17
+7.5
W
31
7
DEN logo
DEN@
W
16-09
+7
-2
W
22
8
NE logo
NE
L
17-22
-5
+3
L
-4
9
BUF logo
BUF
W
20-17
+3
+11
W
17
10BYE WEEK
11
NE logo
NE@
L
03-10
-7
+3
L
-35
12
CHI logo
CHI
W
31-10
+21
-3.5
W
27
13
MIN logo
MIN@
L
22-27
-5
+2.5
L
6
14
BUF logo
BUF@
L
12-20
-8
+9
W
-3
15
DET logo
DET
L
17-20
-3
-2
L
-5
16
JAX logo
JAX
L
03-19
-16
-2.5
L
19
17
SEA logo
SEA@
L
06-23
-17
-1
L
21
18
MIA logo
MIA@
L
06-11
-5
+3.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.12
29th
EPA / Pass
-0.12
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.08
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
20th
Sack EPA
-4.48
21st
Turnover EPA
-5.69
11th
Point Differential
-1.2
17th
Points For
17.4
29th
Points Against
18.6
2nd
Total Yards
318.2
25th
Passing Yards
210.2
10th
Rushing Yards
99.2
25th
Total Yards Allowed
311.1
4th
Passing Allowed
174.6
14th
Rushing Allowed
121.6
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
28th
4th Down
39%
26th
Red Zone
43%
31st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
10th
4th Down
42%
8th
Red Zone
47%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
19th
Created
0.9
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
17th
Created
0.7
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
11th
Created
0.2
31st