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nfelo

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    • Games
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Las Vegas Raiders

AFC West

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1421
Week 5, 2025
Best nfelo
1562
Week 3, 2017
Worst nfelo
1311
Week 11, 2018

Season History

2025
1-3
PF: 19.3 |PA: 24.8
nfelo: 1418
Rank #27
2024
4-13
PF: 18.2 |PA: 25.5
nfelo: 1405
Rank #26
2023
8-9
PF: 19.5 |PA: 19.5
nfelo: 1444
Rank #21
2022
6-11
PF: 23.2 |PA: 24.6
nfelo: 1432
Rank #22
2021
10-8
PF: 21.8 |PA: 25.8
nfelo: 1494
Rank #18
2020
8-8
PF: 27.1 |PA: 29.9
nfelo: 1476
Rank #18
2019
7-9
PF: 19.6 |PA: 26.2
nfelo: 1410
Rank #24
2018
4-12
PF: 18.1 |PA: 29.2
nfelo: 1345
Rank #30
2017
6-10
PF: 18.8 |PA: 23.3
nfelo: 1412
Rank #25
2016
12-5
PF: 25.3 |PA: 24.2
nfelo: 1434
Rank #25
2015
7-9
PF: 22.4 |PA: 24.9
nfelo: 1459
Rank #18
2014
3-13
PF: 15.8 |PA: 28.3
nfelo: 1370
Rank #29
2013
4-12
PF: 20.1 |PA: 28.3
nfelo: 1375
Rank #30
2012
4-12
PF: 18.1 |PA: 27.7
nfelo: 1335
Rank #30
2011
8-8
PF: 22.4 |PA: 27.1
nfelo: 1503
Rank #19
2010
8-8
PF: 25.6 |PA: 23.2
nfelo: 1450
Rank #20
2009
5-11
PF: 12.3 |PA: 23.7
nfelo: 1320
Rank #28
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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