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Las Vegas Raiders

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-12
nfelo Rating
133430th
Point Diff / Game
-9.629th
Net EPA / Play
-0.16729th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC
L
14-22
-8
-1
L
-5
2
MIA logo
MIA@
L
13-35
-22
-1.5
L
-10
3
PIT logo
PIT
W
34-31
+3
+3.5
W
11
4
DEN logo
DEN@
L
06-37
-31
+6.5
L
-45
5BYE WEEK
6
ATL logo
ATL@
L
20-23
-3
+10
W
17
7
JAX logo
JAX
W
26-23
+3
-6
L
-6
8
KC logo
KC@
W
26-16
+10
+1
W
14
9
TB logo
TB
L
32-42
-10
-1
L
-16
10
BAL logo
BAL@
L
20-55
-35
+7.5
L
-6
11
NO logo
NO
L
17-38
-21
+6
L
-41
12
CIN logo
CIN@
L
10-34
-24
+7.5
L
-18
13
CLE logo
CLE
L
17-20
-3
+2.5
L
-20
14
DEN logo
DEN
L
13-26
-13
+10
L
-2
15
KC logo
KC
W
15-00
+15
-4.5
W
21
16
CAR logo
CAR@
L
06-17
-11
+9.5
L
-35
17
LAC logo
LAC@
L
21-24
-3
+8
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.04
23rd
EPA / Pass
-0.00
19th
EPA / Rush
-0.20
31st
Def. EPA / Play
+0.13
32nd
EPA / Pass
+0.16
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
18th
Sack EPA
-3.56
13th
Turnover EPA
-6.65
15th
Point Differential
-9.6
29th
Points For
18.1
26th
Points Against
27.7
28th
Total Yards
344.3
18th
Passing Yards
198.4
14th
Rushing Yards
88.8
29th
Total Yards Allowed
354.5
17th
Passing Allowed
179.2
6th
Rushing Allowed
118.6
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
26th
4th Down
25%
31st
Red Zone
43%
28th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
18th
4th Down
57%
24th
Red Zone
56%
21st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
18th
Created
1.2
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
18th
Created
0.7
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
16th
Created
0.5
22nd