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OAK logo

Las Vegas Raiders

2016 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-5
nfelo Rating
143225th
Point Diff / Game
+1.115th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01516th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NO logo
NO@
W
35-34
+1
+2.5
W
22
2
ATL logo
ATL
L
28-35
-7
-4
L
-13
3
TEN logo
TEN@
W
17-10
+7
-1.5
W
27
4
BAL logo
BAL@
W
28-27
+1
+3.5
W
15
5
LAC logo
LAC
W
34-31
+3
-3.5
L
-3
6
KC logo
KC
L
10-26
-16
+2
L
-13
7
JAX logo
JAX@
W
33-16
+17
+2
W
10
8
TB logo
TB@
W
30-24
+6
25
9
DEN logo
DEN
W
30-20
+10
4
10BYE WEEK
11
HOU logo
HOU
W
27-20
+7
-6.5
W
8
12
CAR logo
CAR
W
35-32
+3
-3.5
L
-1
13
BUF logo
BUF
W
38-24
+14
-3
W
8
14
KC logo
KC@
L
13-21
-8
+3.5
L
-28
15
LAC logo
LAC@
W
19-16
+3
-2.5
W
1
16
IND logo
IND
W
33-25
+8
-3.5
W
-133
17
DEN logo
DEN@
L
06-24
-18
+1
L
22
18
HOU logo
HOU@
L
14-27
-13
+4
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.00
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
17th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.08
16th
Sack EPA
-2.44
2nd
Turnover EPA
-3.91
26th
Point Differential
+1.1
15th
Points For
25.3
9th
Points Against
24.2
20th
Total Yards
363.9
10th
Passing Yards
171.8
26th
Rushing Yards
116.8
6th
Total Yards Allowed
370.6
24th
Passing Allowed
213.4
19th
Rushing Allowed
118.0
23rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
24th
4th Down
47%
20th
Red Zone
59%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
13th
4th Down
27%
3rd
Red Zone
59%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
10th
Created
1.6
9th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
9th
Created
0.9
11th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
15th
Created
0.7
7th