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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2011 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
16614th
Point Diff / Game
+4.38th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0768th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAR logo
LAR@
W
31-13
+18
-3.5
W
10
2
ATL logo
ATL@
L
31-35
-4
-2.5
L
-1
3
NYG logo
NYG
L
16-29
-13
-8
L
-18
4
SF logo
SF
L
23-24
-1
-10
L
0
5
BUF logo
BUF@
L
24-31
-7
-3
L
-7
6
WAS logo
WAS@
W
20-13
+7
-3
W
6
7BYE WEEK
8
DAL logo
DAL
W
34-07
+27
-3
W
15
9
CHI logo
CHI
L
24-30
-6
-8
L
-17
10
ARI logo
ARI
L
17-21
-4
-13
L
-104
11
NYG logo
NYG@
W
17-10
+7
+6
W
13
12
NE logo
NE
L
20-38
-18
+3
L
-1
13
SEA logo
SEA@
L
14-31
-17
-3
L
73
14
MIA logo
MIA@
W
26-10
+16
+3
W
1
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
45-19
+26
-3
W
23
16
DAL logo
DAL@
W
20-07
+13
-2.5
W
53
17
WAS logo
WAS
W
34-10
+24
-7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.03
8th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
15th
EPA / Rush
+0.07
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
12th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
10th
Sack EPA
-2.93
7th
Turnover EPA
-9.18
3rd
Point Differential
+4.3
8th
Points For
24.8
8th
Points Against
20.5
9th
Total Yards
399.1
5th
Passing Yards
217.6
10th
Rushing Yards
142.3
5th
Total Yards Allowed
325.0
8th
Passing Allowed
199.3
15th
Rushing Allowed
112.7
16th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
8th
4th Down
47%
10th
Red Zone
51%
16th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
12th
4th Down
41%
14th
Red Zone
58%
27th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.2
30th
Created
1.7
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.6
31st
Created
0.9
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
21st
Created
0.8
4th