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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
149514th
Point Diff / Game
-3.320th
Net EPA / Play
-0.05518th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ATL logo
ATL@
L
24-26
-2
-3
L
-1
2
DAL logo
DAL
L
10-20
-10
-6.5
L
-13
3
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
24-17
+7
+3
W
5
4
WAS logo
WAS@
L
20-23
-3
-3
L
-22
5
NO logo
NO
W
39-17
+22
-6.5
W
24
6
NYG logo
NYG
W
27-07
+20
-3.5
W
6
7
CAR logo
CAR@
L
16-27
-11
+3
L
-38
8BYE WEEK
9
DAL logo
DAL@
W
33-27
+6
-3
W
13
10
MIA logo
MIA
L
19-20
-1
-6
L
-51
11
TB logo
TB
L
17-45
-28
-6.5
L
-18
12
DET logo
DET@
L
14-45
-31
+3
L
29
13
NE logo
NE@
W
35-28
+7
+9.5
W
19
14
BUF logo
BUF
W
23-20
+3
-1
W
-1
15
ARI logo
ARI
L
17-40
-23
+3.5
L
-15
16
WAS logo
WAS
L
24-38
-14
-3.5
L
-9
17
NYG logo
NYG@
W
35-30
+5
+3.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
21st
EPA / Pass
-0.03
22nd
EPA / Rush
-0.10
16th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.00
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
31st
Sack EPA
-3.68
10th
Turnover EPA
-8.70
2nd
Point Differential
-3.3
20th
Points For
23.6
13th
Points Against
26.9
28th
Total Yards
364.4
12th
Passing Yards
213.6
14th
Rushing Yards
108.9
15th
Total Yards Allowed
401.8
30th
Passing Allowed
267.2
31st
Rushing Allowed
134.6
32nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
16th
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
52%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
26th
4th Down
67%
27th
Red Zone
63%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
30th
Created
1.5
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
26th
Created
0.9
10th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
30th
Created
0.6
15th