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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2016 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
150617th
Point Diff / Game
+2.39th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0448th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE
W
29-10
+19
-4
W
14
2
CHI logo
CHI@
W
29-14
+15
+3
W
10
3
PIT logo
PIT
W
34-03
+31
+4
W
25
4BYE WEEK
5
DET logo
DET@
L
23-24
-1
-3.5
L
-2
6
WAS logo
WAS@
L
20-27
-7
-3
L
-19
7
MIN logo
MIN
W
21-10
+11
+3
W
7
8
DAL logo
DAL@
L
23-29
-6
+5
L
-1
9
NYG logo
NYG@
L
23-28
-5
+3
L
-8
10
ATL logo
ATL
W
24-15
+9
-1.5
W
22
11
SEA logo
SEA@
L
15-26
-11
+6.5
L
-9
12
GB logo
GB
L
13-27
-14
-4
L
-9
13
CIN logo
CIN@
L
14-32
-18
+1.5
L
-11
14
WAS logo
WAS
L
22-27
-5
+2.5
L
-9
15
BAL logo
BAL@
L
26-27
-1
+5
W
8
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
24-19
+5
-1
W
6
17
DAL logo
DAL
W
27-13
+14
-6.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.02
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
13th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
10th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
19th
Sack EPA
-3.18
7th
Turnover EPA
-4.49
23rd
Point Differential
+2.3
9th
Points For
22.9
16th
Points Against
20.7
11th
Total Yards
337.9
20th
Passing Yards
186.3
22nd
Rushing Yards
113.7
9th
Total Yards Allowed
342.8
12th
Passing Allowed
160.5
3rd
Rushing Allowed
103.3
15th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
18th
4th Down
48%
18th
Red Zone
48%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
19th
4th Down
44%
11th
Red Zone
45%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
13th
Created
1.6
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
16th
Created
1.0
8th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.6
17th