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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2019 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
153912th
Point Diff / Game
+1.412th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02412th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS
W
32-27
+5
-10
L
8
2
ATL logo
ATL@
L
20-24
-4
-1
L
-14
3
DET logo
DET
L
24-27
-3
-4
L
-22
4
GB logo
GB@
W
34-27
+7
+3.5
W
12
5
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
31-06
+25
-14
W
11
6
MIN logo
MIN@
L
20-38
-18
+3.5
L
-6
7
DAL logo
DAL@
L
10-37
-27
+3
L
-20
8
BUF logo
BUF@
W
31-13
+18
+1
W
13
9
CHI logo
CHI
W
22-14
+8
-5
W
16
10BYE WEEK
11
NE logo
NE
L
10-17
-7
+4.5
L
-7
12
SEA logo
SEA
L
09-17
-8
+1.5
L
-37
13
MIA logo
MIA@
L
31-37
-6
-10
L
-6
14
NYG logo
NYG
W
23-17
+6
-9
L
-1
15
WAS logo
WAS@
W
37-27
+10
-6.5
W
10
16
DAL logo
DAL
W
17-09
+8
+2.5
W
16
17
NYG logo
NYG@
W
34-17
+17
-3.5
W
9
18
SEA logo
SEA
L
09-17
-8
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
16th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.16
4th
Sack EPA
-4.37
12th
Turnover EPA
-5.40
19th
Point Differential
+1.4
12th
Points For
23.2
15th
Points Against
21.8
15th
Total Yards
356.6
13th
Passing Yards
225.7
8th
Rushing Yards
121.4
11th
Total Yards Allowed
334.9
10th
Passing Allowed
234.4
28th
Rushing Allowed
88.7
3rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
4th
4th Down
31%
30th
Red Zone
63%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
5th
4th Down
61%
27th
Red Zone
56%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
14th
Created
1.3
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
5th
Created
0.6
24th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
28th
Created
0.6
9th