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PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-9
nfelo Rating
152316th
Point Diff / Game
+2.413th
Net EPA / Play
+0.04413th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ATL logo
ATL@
W
32-06
+26
+3.5
W
27
2
SF logo
SF
L
11-17
-6
+3
L
-5
3
DAL logo
DAL@
L
21-41
-20
+3.5
L
-10
4
KC logo
KC
L
30-42
-12
+7
L
-8
5
CAR logo
CAR@
W
21-18
+3
+2.5
W
16
6
TB logo
TB
L
22-28
-6
+7
W
1
7
OAK logo
OAK@
L
22-33
-11
+1
L
-6
8
DET logo
DET@
W
44-06
+38
-3
W
16
9
LAC logo
LAC
L
24-27
-3
-3
10
DEN logo
DEN@
W
30-13
+17
46
11
NO logo
NO
W
40-29
+11
-2.5
W
17
12
NYG logo
NYG@
L
07-13
-6
-4
L
-30
13
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
33-18
+15
-4.5
W
16
14BYE WEEK
15
WAS logo
WAS
W
27-17
+10
-10
P
32
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
34-10
+24
-11
W
9
17
WAS logo
WAS@
W
20-16
+4
-5
L
-14
18
DAL logo
DAL
L
26-51
-25
+6.5
L
-19
19
TB logo
TB@
L
15-31
-16
+7.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.04
10th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
14th
EPA / Rush
+0.07
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.00
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.06
10th
Sack EPA
-3.09
4th
Turnover EPA
-4.65
27th
Point Differential
+2.4
13th
Points For
25.5
12th
Points Against
23.1
19th
Total Yards
359.4
13th
Passing Yards
196.8
17th
Rushing Yards
156.3
1st
Total Yards Allowed
330.1
10th
Passing Allowed
145.6
3rd
Rushing Allowed
107.8
9th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
4th
4th Down
44%
25th
Red Zone
63%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
42%
23rd
4th Down
47%
9th
Red Zone
66%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.0
5th
Created
0.9
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
7th
Created
0.7
21st

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
4th
Created
0.3
31st