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  4. 2016
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2016 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-6
nfelo Rating
16374th
Point Diff / Game
+3.85th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0686th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS@
W
38-16
+22
-2.5
W
15
2
CIN logo
CIN
W
24-16
+8
-3
W
2
3
PHI logo
PHI@
L
03-34
-31
-4
L
-24
4
KC logo
KC
W
43-14
+29
-3.5
W
30
5
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
31-13
+18
-9.5
W
28
6
MIA logo
MIA@
L
15-30
-15
-7.5
L
-183
7
NE logo
NE
L
16-27
-11
+7.5
L
145
8BYE WEEK
9
BAL logo
BAL@
L
14-21
-7
-3
L
-33
10
DAL logo
DAL
L
30-35
-5
-3
L
4
11
CLE logo
CLE@
W
24-09
+15
-9
W
-0
12
IND logo
IND@
W
28-07
+21
-8.5
W
20
13
NYG logo
NYG
W
24-14
+10
-6.5
W
4
14
BUF logo
BUF@
W
27-20
+7
-2
W
7
15
CIN logo
CIN@
W
24-20
+4
-3
W
14
16
BAL logo
BAL
W
31-27
+4
-5.5
L
-129
17
CLE logo
CLE
W
27-24
+3
-3.5
L
80
18
MIA logo
MIA
W
30-12
+18
-12
W
32
19
KC logo
KC@
W
18-16
+2
+2
W
18
20
NE logo
NE@
L
17-36
-19
+5.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.13
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.00
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
17th
Sack EPA
-2.28
1st
Turnover EPA
-5.14
20th
Point Differential
+3.8
5th
Points For
24.4
12th
Points Against
20.6
10th
Total Yards
373.4
6th
Passing Yards
181.3
25th
Rushing Yards
113.9
8th
Total Yards Allowed
339.4
10th
Passing Allowed
188.2
10th
Rushing Allowed
93.2
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
10th
4th Down
53%
11th
Red Zone
54%
16th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
42%
24th
4th Down
56%
19th
Red Zone
48%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
16th
Created
1.4
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
21st
Created
0.8
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
4th
Created
0.6
15th