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  4. 2017
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2017 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-4
nfelo Rating
16016th
Point Diff / Game
+5.68th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0919th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE@
W
21-18
+3
-10
L
-8
2
MIN logo
MIN
W
26-09
+17
-8.5
W
0
3
CHI logo
CHI@
L
17-23
-6
-7
L
-14
4
BAL logo
BAL@
W
26-09
+17
-3.5
W
11
5
JAX logo
JAX
L
09-30
-21
-7.5
L
-37
6
KC logo
KC@
W
19-13
+6
+3.5
W
29
7
CIN logo
CIN
W
29-14
+15
-4
W
18
8
DET logo
DET@
W
20-15
+5
-3
W
4
9BYE WEEK
10
IND logo
IND@
W
20-17
+3
-11
L
-8
11
TEN logo
TEN
W
40-17
+23
-7
W
22
12
GB logo
GB
W
31-28
+3
-14
L
1
13
CIN logo
CIN@
W
23-20
+3
-4.5
L
-1
14
BAL logo
BAL
W
39-38
+1
-6
L
2
15
NE logo
NE
L
24-27
-3
+2.5
L
-30
16
HOU logo
HOU@
W
34-06
+28
-9
W
-127
17
CLE logo
CLE
W
28-24
+4
-5
L
121
18BYE WEEK
19
JAX logo
JAX
L
42-45
-3
-7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.16
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
19th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
17th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
12th
EPA / Rush
+0.00
29th
Sack EPA
-3.01
8th
Turnover EPA
-5.53
18th
Point Differential
+5.6
8th
Points For
26.4
5th
Points Against
20.8
11th
Total Yards
388.5
3rd
Passing Yards
237.8
5th
Rushing Yards
102.9
22nd
Total Yards Allowed
311.3
5th
Passing Allowed
189.4
13th
Rushing Allowed
109.4
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
3rd
4th Down
50%
13th
Red Zone
53%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
13th
4th Down
35%
9th
Red Zone
66%
31st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
14th
Created
1.4
14th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
24th
Created
0.9
11th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
3rd
Created
0.4
22nd