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  4. 2018
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-6-1
nfelo Rating
16116th
Point Diff / Game
+4.310th
Net EPA / Play
+0.06311th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE@
T
21-21
0
-3.5
L
-33
2
KC logo
KC
L
37-42
-5
-4.5
L
3
3
TB logo
TB@
W
30-27
+3
+1
W
2
4
BAL logo
BAL
L
14-26
-12
-3
L
-17
5
ATL logo
ATL
W
41-17
+24
-3.5
W
15
6
CIN logo
CIN@
W
28-21
+7
+1.5
W
12
7BYE WEEK
8
CLE logo
CLE
W
33-18
+15
-8.5
W
6
9
BAL logo
BAL@
W
23-16
+7
+1.5
W
11
10
CAR logo
CAR
W
52-21
+31
-3.5
W
25
11
JAX logo
JAX@
W
20-16
+4
-4
P
-7
12
DEN logo
DEN@
L
17-24
-7
-3
L
-6
13
LAC logo
LAC
L
30-33
-3
-3
L
-9
14
OAK logo
OAK@
L
21-24
-3
-10
L
-9
15
NE logo
NE
W
17-10
+7
+2.5
W
-2
16
NO logo
NO@
L
28-31
-3
+6.5
W
19
17
CIN logo
CIN
W
16-13
+3
-13.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
8th
EPA / Pass
+0.17
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
23rd
Sack EPA
-2.51
3rd
Turnover EPA
-7.08
7th
Point Differential
+4.3
10th
Points For
26.8
5th
Points Against
22.5
16th
Total Yards
403.8
5th
Passing Yards
274.7
2nd
Rushing Yards
90.3
31st
Total Yards Allowed
327.5
6th
Passing Allowed
231.4
27th
Rushing Allowed
96.1
5th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
6th
4th Down
64%
6th
Red Zone
72%
2nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
9th
4th Down
54%
12th
Red Zone
59%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
26th
Created
0.9
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
26th
Created
0.5
27th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
18th
Created
0.4
19th