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  4. 2019
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2019 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
145920th
Point Diff / Game
-0.917th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02520th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE@
L
03-33
-30
+6
L
-33
2
SEA logo
SEA
L
26-28
-2
-4
L
-164
3
SF logo
SF@
L
20-24
-4
+6
W
22
4
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-03
+24
-3.5
W
50
5
BAL logo
BAL
L
23-26
-3
+3
P
-63
6
LAC logo
LAC@
W
24-17
+7
+6
W
114
7BYE WEEK
8
MIA logo
MIA
W
27-14
+13
-14
L
3
9
IND logo
IND
W
26-24
+2
-1
W
-1
10
LAR logo
LAR
W
17-12
+5
+4.5
W
19
11
CLE logo
CLE@
L
07-21
-14
+3
L
-55
12
CIN logo
CIN@
W
16-10
+6
-6
P
-34
13
CLE logo
CLE
W
20-13
+7
+1
W
32
14
ARI logo
ARI@
W
23-17
+6
-2
W
14
15
BUF logo
BUF
L
10-17
-7
-1
L
-22
16
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
10-16
-6
-3
L
-9
17
BAL logo
BAL@
L
10-28
-18
-1.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.18
31st
EPA / Pass
-0.14
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.25
32nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.15
2nd
EPA / Pass
-0.13
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.18
2nd
Sack EPA
-3.03
6th
Turnover EPA
-8.41
5th
Point Differential
-0.9
17th
Points For
18.1
27th
Points Against
18.9
5th
Total Yards
275.4
30th
Passing Yards
160.5
30th
Rushing Yards
90.4
29th
Total Yards Allowed
304.1
5th
Passing Allowed
194.6
13th
Rushing Allowed
109.6
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
34%
27th
4th Down
13%
32nd
Red Zone
35%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
6th
4th Down
48%
18th
Red Zone
49%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
29th
Created
2.4
1st

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
28th
Created
1.3
2nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
22nd
Created
1.1
1st